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    Well, just like that, here we are 6.28 ZWZ. It's been an interesting week....

    Comment


      Originally posted by farming101 View Post
      Well, just like that, here we are 6.28 ZWZ. It's been an interesting week....
      Front month Chicago wheat now at a six (6) year high . . . .

      Comment


        Originally posted by errolanderson View Post
        Front month Chicago wheat now at a six (6) year high . . . .
        Can't you add some of your usual doom and gloom to that somehow....have a mars/snickers bar ...you are not yourself...


        Let me help you....These are 1970s wheat prices and not adjusted for inflation...

        Comment


          The questions should be,
          -how do we lock in these prices? Exporters, or usa exchanges
          - how far into the future ?
          - currency hedge at the same time?


          I remember $14 canola not many years ago. Looking back, what was the best strategy to sell physical, own paper, how many years, what floor and ceiling prices etc ? Land prices are fixed, mortgage rates ? Fertilizer and fuel, is there a effective way to hedge with out mortgaging more to cover trading accounts? Doing all this could one see 20% return on investment?

          Comment


            Originally posted by Rareearth View Post
            The questions should be,
            -how do we lock in these prices? Exporters, or usa exchanges
            - how far into the future ?
            - currency hedge at the same time?


            I remember $14 canola not many years ago. Looking back, what was the best strategy to sell physical, own paper, how many years, what floor and ceiling prices etc ? Land prices are fixed, mortgage rates ? Fertilizer and fuel, is there a effective way to hedge with out mortgaging more to cover trading accounts? Doing all this could one see 20% return on investment?
            Personally, still believe Minneapolis may be the sleeper as it has been heavily discounted to Chicago. If drought conditions persist in Black Sea and Texas, there will be a focus to increase spring wheat acres. One strategy is sell your cash CWRS and replace with MWE calls to re-open your price ceiling. This strategy limits your risk exposure to the cost of the call option, plus generates cashflow. But if MWE blows higher, you are on-board.

            Grains are the hottest sector in the commodity world right now . . . .

            Comment


              On the same topic, sort of.

              This past spring a person could buy diesel about .50 cents per litre, today .90 ish.

              Hind sight, Cash, tank infrastructure etc that would have been a good buy / investment etc

              Sometimes the best returns are on the expense side of the business not on the commodity sale

              Comment


                Originally posted by Rareearth View Post
                On the same topic, sort of.

                This past spring a person could buy diesel about .50 cents per litre, today .90 ish.

                Hind sight, Cash, tank infrastructure etc that would have been a good buy / investment etc

                Sometimes the best returns are on the expense side of the business not on the commodity sale
                'Defense wins championships' and business no different . . . cut costs, reduce debt load, price risk management.

                Comment


                  Originally posted by errolanderson View Post
                  Personally, still believe Minneapolis may be the sleeper as it has been heavily discounted to Chicago. If drought conditions persist in Black Sea and Texas, there will be a focus to increase spring wheat acres. One strategy is sell your cash CWRS and replace with MWE calls to re-open your price ceiling. This strategy limits your risk exposure to the cost of the call option, plus generates cashflow. But if MWE blows higher, you are on-board.

                  Grains are the hottest sector in the commodity world right now . . . .
                  Interesting idea.

                  Comment


                    Originally posted by errolanderson View Post
                    Personally, still believe Minneapolis may be the sleeper as it has been heavily discounted to Chicago. If drought conditions persist in Black Sea and Texas, there will be a focus to increase spring wheat acres. One strategy is sell your cash CWRS and replace with MWE calls to re-open your price ceiling. This strategy limits your risk exposure to the cost of the call option, plus generates cashflow. But if MWE blows higher, you are on-board.

                    Grains are the hottest sector in the commodity world right now . . . .
                    I just hope the grains bonanza relates to increased farm gates , even if just for a bit

                    Comment


                      On wheat marketing , had a friend who sold 2000 tn CPSR to G3 for $7 , local bids for #1 HRSW still below $7 .

                      Comment


                        Originally posted by furrowtickler View Post
                        On wheat marketing , had a friend who sold 2000 tn CPSR to G3 for $7 , local bids for #1 HRSW still below $7 .
                        I sold one load of shitty #2 , 285 fn from last year for $6.75 yesterday , 14.5 px tho
                        Think its heading up

                        Comment


                          Originally posted by furrowtickler View Post
                          On wheat marketing , had a friend who sold 2000 tn CPSR to G3 for $7 , local bids for #1 HRSW still below $7 .
                          Wheat up again.
                          Wheat below $7 now appears to be happy hour pricing.

                          When will this bull market end?

                          Comment


                            Originally posted by Oliver88 View Post
                            Wheat up again.
                            Wheat below $7 now appears to be happy hour pricing.

                            When will this bull market end?
                            Rain in crucial areas will end bull run perhaps?

                            Market talk is Russian decisions imminent about export quotas or cuts to protect domestic reserves.
                            Knowing Russia probably worse than is being let on

                            Comment


                              Originally posted by malleefarmer View Post
                              Rain in crucial areas will end bull run perhaps?

                              Market talk is Russian decisions imminent about export quotas or cuts to protect domestic reserves.
                              Knowing Russia probably worse than is being let on
                              Rain in Russia, Ukraine or Western Australia will kill the bulls?

                              Comment


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                                How much of this price "indication" is a fair farmgate price.

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