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First Friday of 2026 Friday cocktail.

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    First Friday of 2026 Friday cocktail.

    Well, happy New Year.

    In 2026, we're going to witness a lot of crap, and it's about to get real in a lot of places around the world. Social democrats think they have the answer, but the NDP in BC proves that never vote NDP, as the young are fleeing in massive numbers to find real work. The same thing happened in the Saskatchewan I grew up in, you got a suitcase at grad and left if you could. Alberta won and Saskatchewan lost. Never vote NDP.


    So what else do I think will happen in 2026, wealth will look for areas to move money and Silver and gold will continue to rise, building and malls will not make you money in cities. We're moving to online and getting it tomorrow society.

    Farmland is a huge discussion as it continues to go up. But how high is unrealistic? The land block in our area did sell and supposedly one purchaser wants to farm 100000 acres. But there is the problem if you lose $100.00 an acre on 100000 acres or $130.00 on 5000 their is still losses. One is a $10 million loss and one is a $650,000 loss. Extra acres picked up at $164 don't work yes it spreads out risk but it doesn't add up. Chem Fert is not really that different from one to the other. Yes rebates are huge but basic costs aren't that far off. Equipment multi work well but those are getting tighter so that shit show is slowing.

    Now Ag stab with creative accounting might get some money back for the ten millionloss but the $650,000 guy probably will get the audit if he does get anything.

    I think one thing that's happening and will fast if prices keep dropping for commodities rent will be the first to fail and banks will dry up loaning on falling land values.

    Now the same thing happened in the 80s with the usa supporting their farmers and CANADA doing **** all. But Ukraine needs another 2.5 billion.

    The usa is giving their farmers a check in 2026.

    Take your acres and put in for your dollar if you were part of the usa.

    On our farm it would be $350,000.00 vs Ag stab at 0.


    Commodity, Per Acre Payment Rates

    • Barley: $20.51
    • Canola: $23.57
    • Chickpeas (Large): $26.46
    • Chickpeas (Small): $33.36
    • Corn: $44.36
    • Cotton: $117.35
    • Flax: $8.05
    • Lentils: $23.98
    • Mustard: $23.21
    • Oats: $81.75
    • Peanuts: $55.65
    • Peas: $19.60
    • Rice: $132.89
    • Safflower: $24.86
    • Sesame: $13.68
    • Sorghum: $48.11
    • Soybeans: $30.88
    • Sunflower: $17.32
    • Wheat: $39.35
    ?
    They also have a few other programs that pay producers. In CANADA we get loans for Ottawa caused by tariffs.
    Key U.S. Farm Program Payments in 2026

    As of early 2026, U.S. farmers are receiving significant government support through various USDA programs, primarily due to ongoing economic challenges like high input costs and market disruptions. Here’s a breakdown of the main payments expected or disbursed in 2026:

    1. Farmer Bridge Assistance (FBA) Program

    • This is a one-time $12 billion ad hoc aid package announced in December 2025 by the Trump Administration and USDA Secretary Brooke Rollins.

    • Allocation: Up to $11 billion for row crop producers (e.g., corn, soybeans, wheat, cotton, sorghum, peanuts, rice, barley, chickpeas, lentils, oats, peas, and oilseeds like canola, flax, sunflower). $1 billion reserved for specialty crops and sugar (timelines still developing).

    • Basis: Payments are per-acre, based on 2025 planted acres reported to the Farm Service Agency (FSA), modeled losses, and commodity-specific rates.

    • Timeline: Commodity-specific rates announced December 31, 2025; payments issued by February 28, 2026.

    • Purpose: Acts as a “bridge” to help farmers finance 2026 planting amid low prices, until enhanced farm safety net provisions take effect later in 2026.

    • Estimates: Pre-announcement projections suggested $25–40 per acre on average for major crops (e.g., ~$46 for corn, $25 for soybeans), with a potential $155,000 payment limit per producer.

    2. Agriculture Risk Coverage (ARC) and Price Loss Coverage (PLC) Payments

    • These are core farm safety net programs under the extended 2018 Farm Bill, enhanced by the One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA).

    • Enhancements starting 2026 crop year: Statutory reference prices increased 10–21% for major commodities (e.g., corn, soybeans, wheat); over 30 million new base acres added for eligibility.

    • Payments in 2026:

    • For the 2025 crop year: Projected >$13.5 billion total; payments issued starting October 2026 (higher of ARC or PLC for 2025 only, regardless of election).

    • For the 2026 crop year: Elections needed in 2026; any payments issued October 2027.

    • These provide support when prices or revenues fall below guarantees.

    3. Other Programs

    • Supplemental Disaster Relief Program (SDRP): Stage 2 enrollment open until April 30, 2026, for 2023–2024 losses.

    • Conservation and Other Payments: Ongoing through extended Farm Bill programs (e.g., CRP, EQIP).

    • Overall direct government payments contribute significantly to farm income, with USDA ERS forecasts showing strong net farm income recovery in recent years partly due to such support.
    ?

    Ah maybe silver is the bet, hahaha, paying a billion fine and yet some banks made out like bandits easy fine to pay.

    Ah, it's time for a drink.

    The French 75

    This classic is elegant, refreshing, and packs a sophisticated punch—named after a WWI artillery gun for its bright, powerful kick. It’s a timeless favorite for celebrations, frequently featured in New Year’s Eve roundups for its champagne topper and citrus zing.

    Ingredients (for one serving):

    • 1 oz gin (or cognac for a richer variation)

    • 0.5 oz fresh lemon juice

    • 0.5 oz simple syrup (or 1-2 tsp sugar)

    • 3-4 oz chilled champagne or prosecco

    • Lemon twist for garnish

    Instructions:

    1. Add gin, lemon juice, and simple syrup to a shaker with ice.

    2. Shake vigorously for 10-15 seconds.

    3. Strain into a chilled flute or coupe glass.

    4. Top with champagne.

    5. Garnish with a lemon twist.

    Cheers to a fresh start and a fantastic year ahead!
    ?

    #2


    Another place not to invest, Real Estate market crashing in South Florida especially Condos, because of over supply, huricane insurance, and Canadians trying to liquidate

    No wonder the 51st Staters want to join the USA, their farmers are on Government welfare.

    "But there is the problem if you lose $100.00 an acre on 100000 acres or $130.00 on 5000 their is still losses. "

    Just wondering, why the little guy is losing $30.00 an acre more?
    ?

    Comment


      #3
      The USA farmers wouldn’t be happy with “51” as we would dilute (significantly) the per acre payments and other programs

      Comment


        #4
        Happy New Year forage. At least you're reliable.
        Saskfarmer mentioned the Ukraine so you attack on a completely different topic

        Comment


          #5
          Will we find out today who lost their shirt in the silver market? Fed repo is just nuts this last week.
          day care scam in the US is something else. Makes one wonder about the liberals pumping money into day care if the same thing isn’t happening in this country. Seems like the liberals like run a laundry machine off the idea of something good.
          Liberals are the NDP of yesterday on steroids.
          Poland shut out migrants, got huge fines from EU. Politicians there didn’t take the bait.
          In an interview of a French farmer that was in a group of farmers in a grocery store emptying the shelves of cheap imported food. Canadian Glyphosate sprayed lentils on the shelves.

          US trying to ship millions of ounces of silver from China is stuck on the dock. China won’t load out.

          US China Taiwan relations may just shut out China market going forward.




          Comment


            #6
            Originally posted by Rareearth View Post
            The USA farmers wouldn’t be happy with “51” as we would dilute (significantly) the per acre payments and other programs
            Not likely to dilute, as they would have a larger volume of grain. They look at these payments to keep other parts of the economy alive.

            Something farm groups like APAS doesn't understand when they say adhoc payments are not required.

            From railways to graincos to input retails to equipment manufacturing , these US payments flow through the economy pretty quickly.

            If farmers here sitting on APAS believe we don't require adhoc payments - ask them for the reasons why. Beginning to think there are a lot of retards on farm representative boards.

            Not many farms in Saskatchewan can compete against the US treasury. And the ones that can are receiving some of the US payments.

            Comment


              #7
              Forage you know jack shit about Florida.

              No Canadians are leaving unless they are brain damaged liberalsfalling for the bullshit. Even those French Canadians aren't leaving. Costco the other day had more Ontario and Quebec than Florida plates.

              Florida is looking at dropping property taxes.

              Be like Florida not California.

              Yes homes have dropped from the highs but Toronto and Vancouver is really failing.

              Still can get a huge home on 16 th hole pool and hit tub plus 3 car garage cheaper than a house in Regina.


              Gold and silver are interesting

              Comment


                #8
                Oh also forage if you understand farming the mega guy can at this point do a multiple on equipment and get better equipment cost. The other thing is discounts for inputs even if a little still add up.

                But you understand nothing about farming and will continue to tell us all vullshit.

                They support their farmers in the usa we don't. Canola is a prime example that would be settled if Ottawa had a brain. It's that simple but let's send money for tampons in Africa or 2.4 billion to Ukraine.

                Comment


                  #9
                  Wall Street , the financial capital of the world is literally moving from New York to Florida due to taxes, regulations and corrupt officials, with the newly elected socialists in New York being the straw that broke the camel's back.

                  Follow the money.

                  Comment


                    #10
                    That's so true before long Florida will be the financial headquarters. California wants to tax networth not wages. That should work oh so well. The sad part socialist never figure it out you can't tax the wealth it leaves.

                    Also under the bC ndp, the youth are done with the bs so history repeats.

                    Comment

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