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StatsCan Report

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  • jazz
    Senior Member
    • Jul 2018
    • 9308

    StatsCan Report

    Wheat & canola

    https://www.producer.com/news/drought-shrinks-canadas-wheat-crop-to-14-year-low-shrivels-canola-harvest/


    Major Drop in Canadian Pulse Output

    OTTAWA - Aug 30/21 - SNS -- Pulse production in western Canada is down sharply this year, according to the first production estimate of the year from Statistics Canada.

    For the first time the August crop report was not based on a survey of farmers. Instead, Statistics Canada used a model based approach based on satellite imaging and data from the Crop Condition Assessment Program which looks at overall plant health.

    Output of all pulses is currently estimated at 4.98 million metric tons (MT), down 39% from last year's 8.166 million MT harvest and 33% below the previous year average of 7.479 million.
    Last edited by jazz; Aug 30, 2021, 23:07.
  • Old Cowzilla
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2020
    • 1562

    #2
    Eye in the sky and custom sprayers know the score on what's going down. Don't know how those guys that throw darts at a wall keep there job oh wait wonder who's paying them.

    Comment

    • farming101
      Senior Member
      • Mar 2011
      • 3954

      #3
      Not that our local conditions matter at all, but what might be our best canola yielded in the teens. Thought it might do 20+.
      Wheat is 5% lighter bushel weight after getting rained on.

      Comment

      • furrowtickler
        Senior Member
        • Dec 2004
        • 21864

        #4
        Originally posted by farming101 View Post
        Not that our local conditions matter at all, but what might be our best canola yielded in the teens. Thought it might do 20+.
        Wheat is 5% lighter bushel weight after getting rained on.
        Same thing in this area .
        The very odd canola field is above 20
        Hearing some 5 bus just west of here, and there will be moreif not wrote off already
        We started yesterday, pockets are surprisingly good but the thin spots and burn out areas are keeping a lid on much anything over 20
        Anyone who had good soil moisture from last year those yields are decent , close to average but that is very far and few between here . The pocket SW of the Battlefords has some goof yields from a few extra rains . East and NE is a lot of way below average. Just simply zero reserve soil moisture at all .

        Comment

        • jazz
          Senior Member
          • Jul 2018
          • 9308

          #5
          Statscan using satellite imagery? They could easily be off another 10% on these estimates. The data was compiled for July 31 so its pretty out of date. Been a lot of hail and rain since then.

          Comment

          • bucket
            Senior Member
            • Jan 2008
            • 17024

            #6
            Originally posted by jazz View Post
            Statscan using satellite imagery? They could easily be off another 10% on these estimates. The data was compiled for July 31 so its pretty out of date. Been a lot of hail and rain since then.
            Wait until they see later imagery where crops and weeds, mostly weeds , start to grow or regrow and they think there is an even bigger crop coming.

            Comment

            • sumdumguy
              Senior Member
              • Mar 2007
              • 11973

              #7
              [QUOTE=jazz;507783]Statscan using satellite imagery? They could easily be off another 10% on these estimates. The data was compiled for July 31 so its pretty out of date. Been a lot of hail and rain since then.[/QUOTE


              One lentil field just south of us is grass-grass green hoppers ate all the pods and it’ll make nice silage at best. The field across the road from it is getting greener and thinner by the day.

              Anyone remember Otto Lang’s Lift program? Farmers were paid to not plant wheat. I was very young then but there was some sort of aerial maps used to make that payment. Then in about 2000, in paying a farm program back then, satellite imagery was used to weed out forage acres. It was actually quite accurate but the assessors were fooled because of crop stages. For instance young barley was very green and was mistaken for forage.

              So, I think 10% lopped off of July 31 estimates is a pretty reasonable.

              Comment

              • Hamloc
                Senior Member
                • Jan 2014
                • 3920

                #8
                Barley still predicted at 7.8 mmt. down from over 10. So only a 25% reduction? I find this optimistic. Overall I would think the numbers will be smaller going forward, the only question is how much.

                Comment

                • bucket
                  Senior Member
                  • Jan 2008
                  • 17024

                  #9
                  If there was a barley crop why so much advertising that unit trains of corn coming into Canada to be resold to ranchers.?

                  Does imported corn identify as barley production to statscan?

                  Comment

                  • fjlip
                    Senior Member
                    • Oct 2002
                    • 9801

                    #10
                    "Don't know how those guys that throw darts at a wall keep there job oh wait wonder who's paying them."

                    See more "EXPERTS", ya they are all so believable!

                    Comment

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