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Canola Acres Seen Rising On High Prices

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    Canola Acres Seen Rising On High Prices

    Ha HA HA high prices really. Yesterday on way to manitoba AG days got a text Soy for fall delivery into our local Terminal has a price or $11.50 for fall ever want to check the price of canola for the same time period, its just over 10.

    Soy is going to be increasing in Canada and Lentils but Canola will be flat to min if anything.

    Canadian canola plantings may rise slightly in spring as farmers seek to cash in before an expected drop in vegetable oil prices as palm crops recover from drought that hit major Southeast Asian producers, German oilseed analysis firm Oil World said Tuesday, according to a post from canadiancattlemen.ca.
    Plantings will rise by less than 10% in Canada, which accounts for most globally exported canola and ****seed, said Thomas Mielke, executive director of Oil World.
    “The world needs more Canadian canola so it would be wise to expand (plantings) moderately,” he said adding that the expansion would come at the expense of wheat.

    I do think CPS Red and HRS will be down. If its a winter like so far with min snow i would say durum acres in traditional area will still go in. HRS could be Oats or Barley.

    Click image for larger version

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    #2
    SF3... are you flagging for that plane?.... they have GPS now!

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      #3
      Looks like a Thrush.

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        #4
        It's not too early to start protecting new prices. Nov canola is hovering around $500/MT . . . .

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          #5
          Just saying soy better than canola right now to grow in 17. Retarded sister almost as bad as wheat

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            #6
            No just south on way to weyburn last summer and got splashed almost!

            Errol why is soy same adjust dollar as soy yet canola had a factor that's way lower. USA price adjust dollar bang on.

            Yet retarded sister is lower

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              #7
              Originally posted by SASKFARMER3 View Post
              No just south on way to weyburn last summer and got splashed almost!

              Errol why is soy same adjust dollar as soy yet canola had a factor that's way lower. USA price adjust dollar bang on.

              Yet retarded sister is lower
              Answer, because they can.

              Probably has more to do with all of the potential ticking time bombs in everyone's bins right thanks to the crazy fall, now, most producers probably can't unload it fast enough before it heats.

              Could there be fireworks by early summer, when the easy pickings are all sold, especially if we add in the seasonal weather scare?

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                #8
                Distance to market likely a factor and the preference for soymeal over canola meal
                Last edited by farming101; Jan 18, 2017, 12:14.

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                  #9
                  This is going to be the year in which many mb farmers completely drop canola and go all out soybeans in there non cereal rotations. Coupled with high input costs, and increasing disease and pests in canola, soy has proven to be the big winner. Canola is going the way of flax acres in the south and east of mb.

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                    #10
                    I agree I think the powers that run canola think west sask and Alberta acreage will be just as good. Poof canola 12 bushel pepper thanks to normal growing summer. It's coming

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                      #11
                      10 YEARS OF MB ACRES Click image for larger version

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                      Soybeans increase in acres have not come at the expense of canola acres in 10 years

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                        #12
                        Bunge Altona is 11.00 sept. Del. ,11.09 oct. canola 2017

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                          #13
                          Interesting chart on Manitoba.

                          Oats, barley and flax all down significantly over last 10 years.
                          Wheat and canola relatively flat.

                          Soybeans from 200,000 to 1.6 million acres.....need a soybean crusher there.

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                            #14
                            JRI is stuck at $10.47 for sept / oct .
                            P&H $10.52 .
                            That was earlier today .
                            Would like to see $11 in my jeans for off combine as a starting point .
                            ADM Lloyd $10.91
                            Nexera at $12.04

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                              #15
                              Same here they think we will grow a big crop so why bid it up soy getting close to $12. Acres are switching

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