What was your worst trade of the year. Every trader has one(or more). Could be good therapy to discuss.
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Worst trade of the year
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I would say my worst trade or grain marketing decision, this crop year, would be deciding to sell 20% of the durum crop for $7 for a 3 no protein spec in August.
This was just before the deluge of rain to hit the south and wipeout most of the durum quality in the south.
We maintained some semblance of quality and are going to move it to the US, but wish I had those tonnes back.
Best of the year was selling 25% of the canola at $11.81 for November delivery, that they took in harvest.
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I'm short 25 march 425 calls that refuse to get back in the money enough to cover. But I did buy some Jan @ 428 and sold some 435 calls on them @$5 on Friday, they expire next Friday 5 days. Worst case I make $12, best case they expire worthless and I can play them again for another $12. Some patience would have got me $8 for those calls.
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Mbdog, I llike that spread as well...should work...was long cattle/short hogs at 6 cents...made money but got out much too early...funny how a profit can still make you feel like you've lost....admitting you have made a mistake is the sign of a mature trader....novice traders don't make mistakes (or admit to it).
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mcdon...ya stills smarts that one...paper and physical. Lost interest in the trade when basis did what it did. Knew I was doomed.... Screwed up the roll to march....its was just all bad
Small consolation was after farmers had to get out, torpedoed wheats made some pretty solid/vertical gains when it was still kinda liquid.
Think that spread plays yet. Once bitten twice shy.
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