Since its summer and travel is easy with great road conditions, most have seen what's happening along the road ways, from one end of the prairies to the other.
Some have huge crops coming and some have very very poor crops coming.
From my drives its real simple, some might disagree but for the most part I think I have a handle on the crop.
Crops like lentils and peas are basically way way way lower yielding with final results way below other years. When you have so many duds in peas and lentils out their vs few great its easy to see the final number. Its going to be low.
Durum those who grew it are in for a nice crop. Maybe not the total that last year did due to timing of rains and heading but what's their is going to yield similar to last year or slightly less.
Hrs is tough, those that seeded early and fed it and looked after it are in for a nice crop. Flooded areas have excellent HRS coming and only thing this year is huge areas of field that will be dry and have no production with areas of high yield on rest of field. So 55 to 60 on higher ground minus flooded gives a 40 over all on field. Rest that didn't flower is great with good potential so HRS will be a little less than last year but real close.
Soy is the only crop that really seems to survive better in floods. Canola and peas and lentils don't like excess water in spring. I feel our yield this year will be higher than last by 30% do to three things. One is better earlier varieties. Two seeding a week earlier. Three flowering two weeks earlier and no hail damage. Last two weeks of dry weather and heat helped that out.
Soy will be higher in Canada than last year.
Flax is wow and well on its way to take last years yield and beat it.
Barley and oats are two crops that should or could hit last years total for yield but honestly I think some one didn't tell the truth on seeding intentions because you have to drive miles to see either of these crops. Traveling around they are the two crops that most seemed to say Piss on it Im not wasting time with Malt or Quaker oats and dropped.
Canola, for all the expensive seed we use and all the expensive sprays for every thing from flee beetles to disease control the highest costing crop out their is going to surprise quite a few. Those that had 60 last year and expecting the same results this year might be disappointed and in the flooded area those who think a nice Yellow field is recovering but don't walk in and see its ankle high in some areas are also in for a disappointment. Some definitely did recover but last year was way way better weather to help a stressed crop out. The heat pushed it for two weeks which helped advance a late crop but its funny how most are now quickly shutting down after the weekend rain. This has me amazed.
Canola lots was seeded like the experts say but over all the yield number their using is not going to be hit.
Those that disagree with me here is a tid bit. Check out how many Chemical company seed plots across western Canada have had sites abandoned and only a few are left for field days. DAh don't think its a bumper in Canola.
But over all the Billion Dollar Question is when will the first frost day come, if its August all bets are off. Similar if its October 1st all bets are off.
What have others seen on their drives and yes when you stop for a piss maybe walk into guys fields along the highway and have a look not just do a 120 Kmph drive by.
Ok now the experts will be out with their summary Thursday. Bruce Burnet and others are doing crop tours now lets see what they come up with.
Some have huge crops coming and some have very very poor crops coming.
From my drives its real simple, some might disagree but for the most part I think I have a handle on the crop.
Crops like lentils and peas are basically way way way lower yielding with final results way below other years. When you have so many duds in peas and lentils out their vs few great its easy to see the final number. Its going to be low.
Durum those who grew it are in for a nice crop. Maybe not the total that last year did due to timing of rains and heading but what's their is going to yield similar to last year or slightly less.
Hrs is tough, those that seeded early and fed it and looked after it are in for a nice crop. Flooded areas have excellent HRS coming and only thing this year is huge areas of field that will be dry and have no production with areas of high yield on rest of field. So 55 to 60 on higher ground minus flooded gives a 40 over all on field. Rest that didn't flower is great with good potential so HRS will be a little less than last year but real close.
Soy is the only crop that really seems to survive better in floods. Canola and peas and lentils don't like excess water in spring. I feel our yield this year will be higher than last by 30% do to three things. One is better earlier varieties. Two seeding a week earlier. Three flowering two weeks earlier and no hail damage. Last two weeks of dry weather and heat helped that out.
Soy will be higher in Canada than last year.
Flax is wow and well on its way to take last years yield and beat it.
Barley and oats are two crops that should or could hit last years total for yield but honestly I think some one didn't tell the truth on seeding intentions because you have to drive miles to see either of these crops. Traveling around they are the two crops that most seemed to say Piss on it Im not wasting time with Malt or Quaker oats and dropped.
Canola, for all the expensive seed we use and all the expensive sprays for every thing from flee beetles to disease control the highest costing crop out their is going to surprise quite a few. Those that had 60 last year and expecting the same results this year might be disappointed and in the flooded area those who think a nice Yellow field is recovering but don't walk in and see its ankle high in some areas are also in for a disappointment. Some definitely did recover but last year was way way better weather to help a stressed crop out. The heat pushed it for two weeks which helped advance a late crop but its funny how most are now quickly shutting down after the weekend rain. This has me amazed.
Canola lots was seeded like the experts say but over all the yield number their using is not going to be hit.
Those that disagree with me here is a tid bit. Check out how many Chemical company seed plots across western Canada have had sites abandoned and only a few are left for field days. DAh don't think its a bumper in Canola.
But over all the Billion Dollar Question is when will the first frost day come, if its August all bets are off. Similar if its October 1st all bets are off.
What have others seen on their drives and yes when you stop for a piss maybe walk into guys fields along the highway and have a look not just do a 120 Kmph drive by.
Ok now the experts will be out with their summary Thursday. Bruce Burnet and others are doing crop tours now lets see what they come up with.
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