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GO CANOLA GO!!!!!

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  • farmaholic
    Senior Member
    • Sep 2010
    • 17478

    GO CANOLA GO!!!!!

    This is getting interesting.
  • charliep
    Senior Member
    • Oct 2000
    • 9002

    #2
    My morning of charts.

    My two bits and the chart.

    Pay attention to basis. Strong basis equals strong demand.

    Play the market in your own way but have a disciplined way to tell you when to sell. I like the idea of a trailing stop in a market that is moving higher.

    [URL="http://www.farms.com/markets/?page=chart&sym=RSK12"]May futures[/URL]

    <a href="http://www.farms.com/markets/?page=chart&sym=RSK12&domain=farms&stu dies=Volume;&cancelstudy=&a=W">wee kly</a>

    <a href="http://www.farms.com/markets/?page=chart&sym=RSX12">new crop</a>

    <a href="http://www.farms.com/markets/?page=chart&sym=ZLK12&domain=farms&stu dies=Volume;&cancelstudy=&a=W">wee kly soybean oil</a>

    Comment

    • farmaholic
      Senior Member
      • Sep 2010
      • 17478

      #3
      Where is overhead resistance Charlie? Sooner or later price is going ration demand. Where is that?

      Comment

      • boarderbloke
        Senior Member
        • Sep 2007
        • 1991

        #4
        corn is WOWing too! hope she holds

        Comment

        • errolanderson
          Senior Member
          • Jan 2012
          • 3124

          #5
          Strong technically-based fund buying this morning in the grains. Thought the USDA report was mostly neutral. Impressive U.S. job creation numbers again may be part of the spark plug. Canada job numbers were disappointing.

          Interesting . . . U.S. dollar is up sharply which is normally a pressure point for grains. Cattle board under heavy selling pressure today.

          Big volatility straight ahead.

          Comment

          • farmaholic
            Senior Member
            • Sep 2010
            • 17478

            #6
            Domestic canola crush margins eroding.

            Comment

            • errolanderson
              Senior Member
              • Jan 2012
              • 3124

              #7
              Guys . . . if this market actually turns
              lower today, it might get ugly as these
              markets are heavily overbought. Will be an
              interesting finish today.

              Comment

              • charliep
                Senior Member
                • Oct 2000
                • 9002

                #8
                As cottonpicken highlighted before (if remember), $600 is a pretty key point. Note Errol's comment. Markets very rarely post increases over an extended period of time without a break/some form of correction. A market rally today with a lower close is something that needs to be paid attention to (if occurs in canola or soybeans/its components).

                Comment

                • charliep
                  Senior Member
                  • Oct 2000
                  • 9002

                  #9
                  Watch basis as well. Basis staying strong is a symbol of one thing. Grain companies/crushers taking protection (read weaker basis) is likely a sign of something else.

                  Comment

                  • charliep
                    Senior Member
                    • Oct 2000
                    • 9002

                    #10
                    You mentioned crush margins. Below are the current COPA numbers.

                    [URL="http://www.copaonline.net/documents/COPAWEEKLYMARCH72012.pdf"]COPA[/URL]

                    At 4 MMT crush to the end of week 31, Canada is more or less on target to hit 7 MMT domestic processing.

                    Week 31 CGC numbers are out yet. Export pace can best be described as amazing.

                    Comment

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