Friday Cocktail end of February

[SASKFARMER]

Wow, it’s the end of February, and in one week we spring ahead our clocks in Florida. The frost events are done and spring storms are starting in the south as the transition from winter to spring is on its way.

I leave in about another 35 days but once March comes the days go by so fast.

I am planning my trip home maybe I might go through Texas and Oklahoma to see where that massive wildfire was, check the winter wheat out.

The markets green this morning and with a decent basis compared to the fall basis price is approaching mid $15 shortly.

The price of wheat is up on every wheat class except Minneapolis.

Looks like early weather forecasts for Canada have a cold April but then in May it's warming up, could be dry in the NE again but a cooler summer in general so maybe with timely rains not bad. I'm waiting for Drew's forecast it's not out yet.

So Canada is bragging that we have foreign investment coming back. You know with CARNEY's China deal that means oil, mines, minerals and farm land purchases. That's foreign investment. You're all wondering who might be purchasing the big farm?

Here is something for the three misfits challenging me on what the BTO wannabes are paying for rent and really might not be better off than the average family farm.

Local rent is a solid $100.00 plus in a wet area with not that many issues. Land comes up that's investor-owned and the tenants are told the new rent is $125 plus an increase each of the next three years. Local guy goes I'm out and in walks BTO they pay because they want to be well over 100000 acres.

So yes maybe equipment costs are a bit lower RB prices are down, Fert their price isn't much different from yours and on the chemical etc it's the same not much difference. So basically maybe it's time to give a few feet of extra rope and watch the big show unfold.

One bank stands out now financing farms and it's not who you think.

Deere has a new big mechanical coming out with over 500 hp for the USA market.

Got my price on that one-year-old Quad listed on market place not a bad price with trade.

So as we plan for 2026 it looks like it will be similar to last year, same acreage as we picked up a couple to replace the 179 acres we lost. Similar crop plan but might switch one pea back to barley. The pea market is dead and stuck at under $8 now. Still no India and only one company buying.

Cargill is bragging about the lights being on in Regina. Maybe fire up like you want to buy Canola.

Carney needed to do a deal for cheap nitrogen from China with the Canola and pea deal, but that would have involved too much negotiating and the liberals really can't figure out big plays. Oh China has big plays in mind on control of Canada.

Carney gets another floor crossover and this guy is a real joke, he's off to India as a expert in trade. He has a BA. And was quitting.

This pisses me off lots, eastern Canada taking delivery of LNG from Australia. That's a huge shipping cost half way around the world but Western Canada with a pipeline is less than 4000 km. Canada is a joke.

It's time for a drink.


Classic Frostbite Cocktail Recipe

This version is the most common one you’ll find across sources like The Spruce Eats and various bartending sites/videos.

Ingredients (for 1 serving):

• 1½ oz blanco/silver tequila (white tequila works best to keep the color bright)

• 1 oz blue curaçao liqueur

• ½ oz white crème de cacao liqueur (use white, not dark, to preserve the blue hue)

• ½ oz heavy cream (or half-and-half for a lighter version)

• Ice

• Garnish: Luxardo cherry (or maraschino cherry), and optionally a rim of blue or silver sanding sugar for extra flair

Instructions:

1. Fill a cocktail shaker with ice.

2. Add the tequila, blue curaçao, white crème de cacao, and heavy cream.

3. Shake vigorously for 10–20 seconds until well-chilled and frothy.

4. Strain into a rocks glass (old-fashioned glass) filled with fresh ice.

5. Garnish with a cherry on top.
?
Enjoy. And if I missed some Ag news add.

Oh yea crop insurance is lower but guarantee is way lower.maybe might go 80% thus year with a cooler summer.

Frost kills crops fast in eastern Canada so you get 80 bushels of crap wheat that sells for nothing.

A drought is easier

[SASKFARMER]

I have a question for farmers in western Sask that say we're holding sales of grain for better prices. How do you survive after 5 to 6 years of drought and have the ability to hold sales. Don't you need cash or is crop insurance that good and you can survive on it? A lot in the east wonder this. Do you stop and not put fertilizer or spray? Math is fun but something doesn't add up. Don't shot the messenger were wonderingbecause the frost of 2002 and 2004 in the early days of August decimated farms in the east. Flood years we lost acres and never got paid for them. So is it Ag stab?

[bucket]

I have a question for farmers in western Sask that say we're holding sales of grain for better prices. How do you survive after 5 to 6 years of drought and have the ability to hold sales. Don't you need cash or is crop insurance that good and you can survive on it? A lot in the east wonder this. Do you stop and not put fertilizer or spray? Math is fun but something doesn't add up. Don't shot the messenger were wonderingbecause the frost of 2002 and 2004 in the early days of August decimated farms in the east. Flood years we lost acres and never got paid for them. So is it Ag stab?

Might they have cattle to offset the hold on canola??????

15 calves today are worth more than a couple super Bs of canola.

[SASKFARMER]

Yes, that is true for sure. Lots of the BTO’s are moving NE in Sask to cover risk.

Even Hutts are relocating in eastern Sask. But still last month a farm north of us sold a quarter for well under 2/3 the going price.

[Old Cowzilla]

Don't see any cow poo on the shoes of the guys buying x9's around this area. We got a yard full of cattle and are still buying everybodys combine (hand me downs)

[SASKFARMER]

China can now take our beef but if we don't build the Canadian beef herd won't this just lead to increase in Canadians prices.

I think we need major incentives to grow the herd. Am I wrong, lots of shit was broken in SW Sask to grow nothing.

[bucket]

Don't see any cow poo on the shoes of the guys buying x9's around this area. We got a yard full of cattle and are still buying everybodys combine (hand me downs)

You are making bigly $$$$$$$$$. Don't be modest , you are probably the guy I seen with duct tape on the toes of his shoes , leaning to one side while he sat at the cattle auction because his wallet in his back pocket was so full. Just funning.

[bucket]

China can now take our beef but if we don't build the Canadian beef herd won't this just lead to increase in Canadians prices.

I think we need major incentives to grow the herd. Am I wrong, lots of shit was broken in SW Sask to grow nothing.

I read yesterday that CFIA or Health Canada stopped the manufacture of DECCOX. For cattlemen that have ever had an outbreak of coccidiosis in the pen, you know this is bad news.

[Old Cowzilla]

Just like USA dream of bringing factories back it takes years to build a proper cow herd. I don't know if the young guys starting want to make that kind of commitment. Won't take much of a jump in production to push prices lower just like when there is a 20% increase in special crop acres. Only a 2% increase in cows down south would crash our market.

[Grain Farmer]

Yes hurry up and produce more so the price will go down.