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often wonder Grain Prices

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    often wonder Grain Prices

    World population increasing increasing but maybe countered by incremental increase in production year on year but maybe lesser land coming into production to make up shortfalls and prices stagnant
    Is it the fact that world population cant afford high priced grain meaning end products flour etc even massive droughts wars only a ripple affect nowadays

    #2
    Sort of need a rest button aint gonna happen.

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      #3
      We've been told the population was going to outgrow the production for generations.
      One of the biggest additions to production was when USSR collapsed and China switched to a more market based economy.
      Took a while for that to correct, still might not be fully functional, but that turned importers into exporters.

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        #4
        Originally posted by shtferbrains View Post
        We've been told the population was going to outgrow the production for generations.
        One of the biggest additions to production was when USSR collapsed and China switched to a more market based economy.
        Took a while for that to correct, still might not be fully functional, but that turned importers into exporters.
        yeah but seem like it actually "should" be, world breeding like rabbits ,world wide less food in theory but aint the case, heck I did my best 5 kids

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          #5
          Less and less people going hungry every year in fact being fat is a bigger problem now with diets. 1 and 2 kid families in Canada now no growth unless we import. World pop peaking in 50 years or less we have more than enough grain just think what happens if we stop making fuel out of corn and beans. Teck to produce food jumps leaps and bounds every year.

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            #6
            The birth rate in Canada is below replacement at about 1.2 children per woman. When women come to Canada for more opportunity, they will want to have less children. Not to mention the cost of raising a family in this northern ghetto. Factor in the Boomer numbers disappearing. Birth numbers are below replacement in most countries except Sub-Saharan Africa. And how about that 1 child policy in China for so long? Will gender inclusive conscription now present in many European countries allow for babies? What if there is war? Count me as skeptical. I think that global population numbers may already be going down.
            Last edited by littledoggie; Dec 3, 2025, 13:45.

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              #7
              It is very likely that population has already peaked in the world and depopulation is the new norm. Low birthrates combined with gubmint killings as of late: (the covid bioweapon attack, euthanasia, unnecessary war in the Ukraine etc) has likely already got us past peak population. This combined with lower living standards as too long we have been living high on the hog via debt, means that demand is likely to weaken. Unfortunately this means that farming is too productive and 80's style surpluses could result requiring the idling of some land and reduction of inputs. Around here bush is being burnt just like in the early 80's so more land is being made every day. Reversing this trend could take severe pain which we have not gotten yet. I do farm marginal land but this land is within a half hour drive of 3 grain elevators whereas there are farmers hauling to the same elevators with a 2 hr drive.

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                #8
                First world populations are cresting. But India and some Asian countries, plus some African countries still rising for a few more years.

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