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Canola Weekly Close

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  • wheatking16
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2010
    • 561

    #11
    Originally posted by Sodbuster View Post
    Funds currently net long 80,000 canola contracts, what is the next level of resistance? Still sitting on some of my old crop and wondering where to put my next target at.
    I shared my thoughts here, behind the paywall.

    ​​​​​​[url]https://www.grainreport.klarenbach.ca/p/analyzing-canola-futures-key-support-and-resistance-levels[/url]

    Comment

    • TechAnalyst
      Senior Member
      • Nov 2017
      • 313

      #12
      Originally posted by Sodbuster View Post
      Funds currently net long 80,000 canola contracts, what is the next level of resistance? Still sitting on some of my old crop and wondering where to put my next target at.
      For compliance sake, this is Not a recommendation, simply an opinion for discussion purposes.

      There is light resistance at $725/t (Nov '23), then $821/t (Aug '23), then significant resistance at $854.80/t (July '23).

      If it were me, and I hadn't rewarded this recovery from the March low yet, I would make a small sale here. Then depending on how much I had left, risk tolerance and cash flow considerations, that sort of thing -- I would divide the remaining up either into 2 or 4 increments. Then have target orders based on $750'sh (July futures) and $815'sh if only 2 lots left to sell. Or $725, 750, 775 and 815 if 4 lots left to sell. Then have a plan on how to alter it if the outlook sours.

      My 2 cents - and good luck to all seeding.

      Comment

      • TechAnalyst
        Senior Member
        • Nov 2017
        • 313

        #13
        I didn’t realize I was answering at the same time as Trent.

        My response wasn’t meant to take away from his.

        Comment

        • wheatking16
          Senior Member
          • Apr 2010
          • 561

          #14
          Originally posted by TechAnalyst View Post
          I didn’t realize I was answering at the same time as Trent.

          My response wasn’t meant to take away from his.
          Oh god no

          This is an open forum and you provided content.

          Comment

          • farming101
            Senior Member
            • Mar 2011
            • 3955

            #15
            Looking at a resistance value of 720 in the July which needs to be challenged by the end of this coming week. A couple closes above that would open up further opportunities for higher values.
            Not a recommendation

            Comment

            • Old Cowzilla
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2020
              • 1584

              #16
              How many more days before dryness across canola belt starts pushing Sept. prices ?

              Comment

              • TechAnalyst
                Senior Member
                • Nov 2017
                • 313

                #17
                Originally posted by TechAnalyst View Post

                For compliance sake, this is Not a recommendation, simply an opinion for discussion purposes.

                There is light resistance at $725/t (Nov '23), then $821/t (Aug '23), then significant resistance at $854.80/t (July '23).

                If it were me, and I hadn't rewarded this recovery from the March low yet, I would make a small sale here. Then depending on how much I had left, risk tolerance and cash flow considerations, that sort of thing -- I would divide the remaining up either into 2 or 4 increments. Then have target orders based on $750'sh (July futures) and $815'sh if only 2 lots left to sell. Or $725, 750, 775 and 815 if 4 lots left to sell. Then have a plan on how to alter it if the outlook sours.

                My 2 cents - and good luck to all seeding.
                July canola hit $730.90 today in case $725’sh was being used for a target.

                Comment

                • farming101
                  Senior Member
                  • Mar 2011
                  • 3955

                  #19
                  Retrace!
                  July has tested support at 696.30 or so and November at about 667.30,
                  Don't need any closes below those values

                  Comment

                  • wheatking16
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2010
                    • 561

                    #20
                    Originally posted by wheatking16 View Post

                    I shared my thoughts here, behind the paywall.

                    ​​​​​​[url]https://www.grainreport.klarenbach.ca/p/analyzing-canola-futures-key-support-and-resistance-levels[/url]
                    Almost to the tick.

                    Comment

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