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Canola Rebound

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  • wheatking16
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2010
    • 557

    Canola Rebound

    A few high-blood pressure pills


    Several stress pill prescriptions.


    And just like that,


    4 weeks later,


    Canola is back trading at its pre-China Syndrome levels.


    It's like nothing happened.
  • bucket
    Senior Member
    • Jan 2008
    • 17024

    #2
    Can you take that chart back to Labour Day 2024 and correlate it to the fact that rationing should show up sooner than later.

    Comment

    • bucket
      Senior Member
      • Jan 2008
      • 17024

      #3
      Vehicles never went down in place and the auto sector is getting billions.

      Comment

      • wheatking16
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2010
        • 557

        #4
        Originally posted by bucket View Post
        Can you take that chart back to Labour Day 2024 and correlate it to the fact that rationing should show up sooner than later.
        I am unaware of a reliable method to measure rationing.

        Comment

        • shtferbrains
          Senior Member
          • Jun 2017
          • 5187

          #5
          Good to see.

          How much did China buy at the discount?

          Do you think that reflects the price rise that should be compensated if the government is covering potential losses due to tariffs?

          Comment

          • wheatking16
            Senior Member
            • Apr 2010
            • 557

            #6
            Originally posted by shtferbrains View Post
            Good to see.

            How much did China buy at the discount?

            Do you think that reflects the price rise that should be compensated if the government is covering potential losses due to tariffs?
            1. No idea, but the futures market volume

            2. I am not convinced that covering "potential" losses is necessary or prudent.

            Comment

            • shtferbrains
              Senior Member
              • Jun 2017
              • 5187

              #7
              Originally posted by wheatking16 View Post

              1. No idea, but the futures market volume

              2. I am not convinced that covering "potential" losses is necessary or prudent.
              It seems to be happening in more vote fertile industries?

              Comment

              • TASFarms
                Senior Member
                • Feb 2014
                • 1339

                #8
                Price climb might enough to maintain acres. Lower soy acres south. Might be interesting come fall

                Comment

                • goalieguy847
                  Senior Member
                  • Jun 2017
                  • 659

                  #9
                  Direct to farm subsidies would be the WORST THING FOR CANADIAN FARMERS.

                  There really are no potential losses. If canada opened up " evs" from china.. and china dropped tariffs... .. then canola sky rockets... ( it wouldnt bcuz alot of acres are going to go in) ... will they want those subsidies back?
                  fundamentals havent changed.

                  Access to foreign markets hasnt changed for the big oilseed buyers.
                  No new soy/ canola crop coming anytime soon.

                  Comment

                  • blackpowder
                    Senior Member
                    • Feb 2010
                    • 9256

                    #10
                    Wouldn't it be great to have weekly export sales reporting?

                    Comment

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