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Wheat trump

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  • Landdownunder
    Senior Member
    • Mar 2021
    • 1776

    Wheat trump

    Bit of discussion about incoming president and affect on ag by some "experts" and how Australia will fair.

    All seem to think neutral.

    Economy wise they think it could actually cause deflationary effect. As we compete with many USA markets could create demand for Aussie wheat if other countries go away from US wheat price wise no change priced of US exchanges and local basis at work no change.

    If china gets shitz on with USA could create new demand for many countries as they go looking especially for steel iron ore gas from new sources.

    Intersting 4 years ahead nothing like rattling the world cage giving it a good shake up for better or for worse

    Edit PS deflationary affect here in Australia there talking not world wide
    Last edited by Landdownunder; Jan 16, 2025, 14:55.
  • Landdownunder
    Senior Member
    • Mar 2021
    • 1776

    #2
    Hopefully this doesn't turn into a TDS thread but no arsehats come to this side of agriville.

    Trumps in accept it hes announced his policies right or wrong accept it , how's it gonna pan out going forward.

    Alot is huff and bluff and bravado many can't see that and are wetting there bed at night

    Comment

    • furrowtickler
      Senior Member
      • Dec 2004
      • 21844

      #3
      Originally posted by Landdownunder View Post
      Bit of discussion about incoming president and affect on ag by some "experts" and how Australia will fair.

      All seem to think neutral.

      Economy wise they think it could actually cause deflationary effect. As we compete with many USA markets could create demand for Aussie wheat if other countries go away from US wheat price wise no change priced of US exchanges and local basis at work no change.

      If china gets shitz on with USA could create new demand for many countries as they go looking especially for steel iron ore gas from new sources.

      Intersting 4 years ahead nothing like rattling the world cage giving it a good shake up for better or for worse

      Edit PS deflationary affect here in Australia there talking not world wide
      I think the feel is mostly neutral here as well , but there will be knee jerk reactions at times
      today a good example in Soybeans that dumped hard tanking canola down as well
      Not sure what happened as soybean yields in the U.S. were downgraded a lot just a week ago

      Comment

      • fcr
        Senior Member
        • Feb 2021
        • 525

        #4
        Canola may get dropped from U.S. subsidy for biofuel. They buy more canola from Canada than all others combined. Buckle up boys it’s just getting started.

        Comment

        • Landdownunder
          Senior Member
          • Mar 2021
          • 1776

          #5
          Honestly its all about the tit for tat with china and lesser extent other bric countries.

          Some people working themselves into a lather about "what ifs"

          Comment

          • blackpowder
            Senior Member
            • Feb 2010
            • 9231

            #6
            Our barley benefited when yours was shut out of China. Lost a dollar when they started again.
            Similar will happen again.
            Anyone remember the US Farm Bills of the eighties? All farms under a certain size vanished.
            Know when to hold 'em when to fold 'em

            Comment

            • farmaholic
              Senior Member
              • Sep 2010
              • 17466

              #7
              Originally posted by blackpowder View Post
              Anyone remember the US Farm Bills of the eighties? All farms under a certain size vanished.
              Know when to hold 'em when to fold 'em
              Oh oh..... you just validated the Ghetto's(my farm's) redundancy.
              I've been around long enough to witness the viable farm size " EVOLUTION". Even I feel doomed. Farm size seems incremental to combine capacity. Everything(machinery) is a million dollars +/-!
              Lots of variables determine viability but "acres needed" plays a role.

              Comment

              • ColevilleH2S
                Senior Member
                • May 2007
                • 1637

                #8
                Originally posted by furrowtickler View Post

                I think the feel is mostly neutral here as well , but there will be knee jerk reactions at times
                today a good example in Soybeans that dumped hard tanking canola down as well
                Not sure what happened as soybean yields in the U.S. were downgraded a lot just a week ago
                Shouldn't Soybeans and Soybeanbean oil go up if Canola and Canola Oil are going to be tarriffed out of the US market?

                I suspect this recent retreat of risk premium is a tell that the blanket taffif is no longer going to be a blanket.

                Comment

                • wheatking16
                  Senior Member
                  • Apr 2010
                  • 549

                  #9
                  My intuition tells me this tariff noise is a nothing burger.

                  But O'Leary said the same about Bitcoin......

                  Comment

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