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Oz crop in trouble , heat , drought

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  • furrowtickler
    Senior Member
    • Dec 2004
    • 21935

    #11
    Seems to be totally irrelevant to markets here
    Crop prices still plummeting.

    Comment

    • Sodbuster
      Senior Member
      • Mar 2017
      • 1129

      #12
      Crop better than expected in western Canada? I know we were surprised with our yields on less 4” of rain, couldn’t imagine if we had got another 2” of rain in late June and July where we would of been.

      Comment

      • furrowtickler
        Senior Member
        • Dec 2004
        • 21935

        #13
        Originally posted by Sodbuster View Post
        Crop better than expected in western Canada? I know we were surprised with our yields on less 4” of rain, couldn’t imagine if we had got another 2” of rain in late June and July where we would of been.
        Depends on perspective
        We were expecting 20 bus canola or less , got better than expected, but still well below average
        Rain areas west and north of here were expecting 60 plus , it’s not happening on average

        Comment

        • AlbertaFarmer5
          Senior Member
          • Oct 2010
          • 12539

          #14
          If this comes true, it seems noteworthy coming from the worlds 3rd largest producer.


          Picture didn't post. Predicting a 48% decline in canola production in Australia compared to last year.

          Comment

          • furrowtickler
            Senior Member
            • Dec 2004
            • 21935

            #15
            Well it will be interesting, here in Canada 15-20% of the canola will be average to above average
            40% below average and 40% well below average

            But traders already have decided that the 15-20% will more than make up for the 80% .

            Marketed without fundamental reason anymore

            Simply price will be at just above COP for the 20% and the other 80% well too bad .

            And no crop insurance does not guarantee SFA

            Get just under your coverage level and $15 on the market …… run the numbers , it’s not good .

            Comment

            • BTO780
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2021
              • 541

              #16
              With the price difference of $3.62 bu better with crop insurance should have ran the reels faster, fan faster opened up everything and let er buk.

              What a joke!!

              Fert prices exploding higher.

              2021 everything went up due to high commodity prices …. What the frik is happening now?

              Comment

              • WiltonRanch
                Senior Member
                • Jul 2012
                • 4517

                #17
                Can’t complain about yields this year. Some good crops in the nw but not far south it tapers off. No bumper but above average. It isn’t making up for the zeros. Oat crops are disappointing I hear. Will be tying into ours tomorrow.

                Comment

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