Durum

[furrowtickler]

what's your guys thoughts on the flax direction? Much of a stand or crop out there?

Flax should rally a lot . Limited acres and will be poor crop what is out there

[furrowtickler]

You obviously aren't aware of the drought in the Canadian durum growing area. Some, not all, is as bad as 2021.

And there's a bunch that's ready that will be targeted by the rain forecasted Sun-Tues and will be downgraded. They also want 62 lbs/bus or 400 g/hl, and there won't be much of that around. Heard of some at 56 lbs

You bring up a very valid point on grades.
Top grade Durum could hit $20 , but how much will make top grade ?
Same as hrsw , grade spreads will be large.
The few places that do have big crop it is going to get weathered .

[GALAXIE500]

My harvest down here is down to the last 80 acres, and of that only 20 will be cut. Grasshoppers , and drought have made this year as bad as 2021. High yield was 8 bpa , and a low of 5 bpa.

20 dollar durum would be great if I harvested a 30 bushel crop. Second time in three years to see record prices , and it is a small consolation for terrible yield.

Getting tired of this , and also getting VERY tired of hearing every f&*%ing news outlet talk about climate change!

Anybody ever talk about "cycles in weather" anymore?

[wmoebis]

What is the quality in other countries? Except for niche markets our top quality is for blending. If customers have good quality they may not need ours as much as we think.
One AWC rep said that feed wheat was worth more than #1 in Lethbridge.

[BTO780]

At 5.7 mil acres and 22 bu crop it’s 3.4 mmt.
Trade will argue it’s bigger than 22, whatever the case it’s going to be no where what first thought.

Tests weights are bad from guys to have taken stuff already. It’s mid Aug it can’t be good.

Then again we as farmers don’t no what we are talking about.

[furrowtickler]

My harvest down here is down to the last 80 acres, and of that only 20 will be cut. Grasshoppers , and drought have made this year as bad as 2021. High yield was 8 bpa , and a low of 5 bpa.

20 dollar durum would be great if I harvested a 30 bushel crop. Second time in three years to see record prices , and it is a small consolation for terrible yield.

Getting tired of this , and also getting VERY tired of hearing every f&*%ing news outlet talk about climate change!

Anybody ever talk about "cycles in weather" anymore?

Absolutely agree , and it’s a huge huge area much the same as you unfortunately. Even our Sask ag minister obviously has zero clue . I drove all through SW Sask and SE Alberta at the end of July . It was 90 % dismal . Feel sorry for all in that area . But it extends north to hiway 14 and east past Davidson and in many other areas as well .
Now the few good areas are going to be wet.
Low of plus 3 here tonight, which means zero outside the city limits .
It frustrating to see and hear all the rage in the industry and media about “record prices” when you have very little to even sell . Two years ago we had very very little to sell into a great canola market after contracts .
It’s irritating at times , some experts , and armchair experts belittle those with contracts that year . Then this past spring the same “experts” were belittling again for not taking contracts for higher prices this spring .
You have to get to a point and just smile, shake your head and walk away, cause 90% of them never have grown a crop in their life , let alone try to manage it during the growing season , harvest it , store it , haul it …….. then manage the finances behind the scenes. But they are sure quick to judge why you did not sell what you did not have at record prices .
The most common line I heard was “Ya but those grain prices sure are great “
for many again this year it will be like winning $10 in a million dollar lotto .
Enough to get another ticket is all .

[bucket]

The federal ag minister came to Saskatchewan and couldn't even pay the ranchers in the south west of Saskatchewan and the lower half of Alberta a courtesy trip to see how bad it is for some .

[furrowtickler]

The federal ag minister came to Saskatchewan and couldn't even pay the ranchers in the south west of Saskatchewan and the lower half of Alberta a courtesy trip to see how bad it is for some .

Sadly they don’t care , they want to kill the livestock industry by blaming cow farts for fires and drought .

[furrowtickler]

What’s with $15.50 bu for durum ,and cwrs at 9.Watch durum acres explode next year.

I expect flax , oats and a few other crops with very low production this year to meet 2021 prices
10% of farmers will cash in , 90% will be on the sidelines with poor crops …… much like 2021

[bucket]

Sadly they don’t care , they want to kill the livestock industry by blaming cow farts for fires and drought .

Read the letter from the SCA. Promoting irrigation won't help the cattle guy, just give those that are gifted wealth in irrigation the money to buy the cattle guys flat land out and make it cropland.

The cow calf guy is heading for extinction. The statistics say that what is happening. Average age is 60 plus and no young guys coming back to earn less that a Walmart greeter for 365 work.