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Technicals wheat canola

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  • Landdownunder
    Senior Member
    • Mar 2021
    • 1778

    Technicals wheat canola

    Admit i know zero about this side of futures.

    But have technical levels on down side been breached?

    Or we havent reached key support levels yet?

    All i know its darn dry and a falling market not good combination doubting drought basis will help.

    oddly in australia barley holding up well price wise
  • blackpowder
    Senior Member
    • Feb 2010
    • 9241

    #2
    Do not do what i do....
    I'm increasing wheat sales today if steady. Much more downside risk than up. Seasonals over i think...
    Hopefully moving to 40-50% sold physical with a very few earlier put spreads left in place. Covering production risk later maybe with a few call spreads but feel safe at 40%. Obviously different timing.
    Canola nothing done past the 20% months ago.
    How's your CPAP machine working out?

    Comment

    • Landdownunder
      Senior Member
      • Mar 2021
      • 1778

      #3
      CPAP errr slowly but surely

      Foward prices for wheat and barley here today actually rose. Drought premium

      Comment

      • blackpowder
        Senior Member
        • Feb 2010
        • 9241

        #4
        Originally posted by Landdownunder View Post
        CPAP errr slowly but surely

        Foward prices for wheat and barley here today actually rose. Drought premium
        I really hate mine but need to use it.
        Basis narrowing?

        Comment

        • crusher
          Senior Member
          • Jun 2001
          • 1188

          #5
          I think politics and managed money are trumping technicals these days. I note almost all commodities were down yesterday and fortunately nearly all up this morning. As always, have a plan, set some targets, and hopefully you can make a profit in these turbulent times. I've gone from way, way too much inventory down to just too much inventory.

          Comment

          • blackpowder
            Senior Member
            • Feb 2010
            • 9241

            #6
            Yes, it's the velocity and volume of change that's our new danger.

            Comment

            • errolanderson
              Senior Member
              • Jan 2012
              • 3123

              #7
              Commodity fallout is becoming broad-based as deflation digs in . . . .

              Central bankers totally out-of-touch with market reality. Gold prices now in-a-slide as inflation fades. Rate cuts ahead, when policy panic finally sinks in (possibly this summer). Gong-show ahead (IMO).

              Comment

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