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Market mauling

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  • ajl
    Senior Member
    • May 2008
    • 3243

    Market mauling

    Anybody recall a year with such market bearishness at this time? Almost every year at least a small acre buying rally at seeding time has been the norm even in the 1980's. If this keeps up there will be carry over after an average crop following a drought reduced crop. Granted wheat was above average last fall but none of the other crops were much better than average.
  • Partners
    Senior Member
    • May 2010
    • 3105

    #2
    Viterra "experts" we estimating approx double the carry over in wht and canola.
    Crop larger than farmers stated.
    Farmers reluctant to sell at prices since January.
    That's their take.

    Comment

    • redleaf
      Senior Member
      • Feb 2008
      • 379

      #3
      Every message from Viterra is doom and gloom. Sell now because there is nowhere for price to go but down.

      Comment

      • wheatking16
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2010
        • 553

        #4
        Originally posted by redleaf View Post
        Every message from Viterra is doom and gloom. Sell now because there is nowhere for price to go but down.
        Same reason I don't ask my barber if I need a haircut

        Comment

        • Partners
          Senior Member
          • May 2010
          • 3105

          #5
          Originally posted by redleaf View Post
          Every message from Viterra is doom and gloom. Sell now because there is nowhere for price to go but down.
          Where has prices gone since nov/dec.?

          Comment

          • shtferbrains
            Senior Member
            • Jun 2017
            • 5178

            #6
            Originally posted by redleaf View Post
            Every message from Viterra is doom and gloom. Sell now because there is nowhere for price to go but down.
            Asked the head buyer at a crusher why every day he said the price might go down.
            He replied "If we told you the price was going up no one would sell."



            Company guys are trained to be bearish.
            But there are some great guys out there.
            Your job to find a good one or a good advisor so you don't need them for advise.

            Comment

            • Old Cowzilla
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2020
              • 1559

              #7
              They all want to buy your grain now but when they will take it and pay for it is a another story. April is going pretty fast and we are 10 degrees below normal temps.

              Comment

              • GALAXIE500
                Senior Member
                • Dec 2003
                • 668

                #8
                Originally posted by redleaf View Post
                Every message from Viterra is doom and gloom. Sell now because there is nowhere for price to go but down.
                Richardsons are pretty much the same from what my neighbors are telling me .

                Comment

                • TOM4CWB
                  Senior Member
                  • Dec 2000
                  • 16511

                  #9
                  The weather forecast is responsible for much of the drop in prices:

                  Most recent summer forecast by NOAA:



                  US pasture conditions:



                  El Niño is becoming stronger every day forecasters are commenting…. The concern it would be later summer for the increased rainfall is diminished…


                  Blessings

                  Comment

                  • flea beetle
                    Senior Member
                    • Jun 2019
                    • 1287

                    #10
                    After May 18th the markets will likely catch an updraft.

                    Comment

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