Canola 60 bushel swath!!!

[LWeber]

Larry if you took the July20-August- Sept rainfalls... that would tell a real story about why our yields in Alberta are not as StatsCan says. We went from blooming to the bin with no rainfall that was enough to fill the pods here... if someone caught an extra shower... it was the exception not the rule... wheat however hung in and did exceed average normals... where canola was 90% of normal. Something does not add up on Alberta Canola numbers, the plant material was there... but the pods didn't fill normally... smaller seeds.

By this summer... we found when we emptied the Canola bins ... we were 2bu/ac short of measured twice, double audited 2021 yields... 6% moisture canola is 4%weight less than 9% moisture canola... and just about impossible to rehydrate. I don't think it is 6%... on our 914 meter it is unmeasurable low on the charts... but no one cares... it is the farmers loss.

Cheers

Sorry Furrow, it was the August survey in the wind of 2012 - not the September.
Model based vs survey based vs final.
2016/17 was the start of NDVI model usage in September 2016.
2006/07 to 2015/16 was survey based on phone calls/online submission.
The worst the model based satellite system in September has been out is 8.9%.
The worst the survey based was 25.6%

What production estimate system has been more accurate vs the final in September?
The elephant in the room in 2022/23 is seeded acres...not yield.

[furrowtickler]

The elephant always has an exaggerated tusk

[LWeber]

The elephant always has an exaggerated tusk

LOL...i disagree with no further communication on acres, since Feb/March, Furrow.
No calls to crop insurance, no calls to Prov - nadda.
The biggest part of production changes since 2016/17 has been acres - not yield.

[furrowtickler]

All I know is this resulted in a huge yield decline in many areas thought to be huge in July …


Time will tell ..

[furrowtickler]

If the extra acres were in SF area , yields will be up a bit , it there were anywhere in the 90% of the rest of western Canada, it’s a complete crap shoot .

[TOM4CWB]

If the extra acres were in SF area , yields will be up a bit , it there were anywhere in the 90% of the rest of western Canada, it’s a complete crap shoot .

We thought at first we had 44bu/ac… until we closely calibrated /recalibrated our load cells on combines… 42 average was 38… by weight. Since the moisture and bu/hr harvest speeds were very consistent…A Full bins mean diddly… when the density/weight isn’t there…

[SASKFARMER]

Our area is a canola area and no one changes rotation from year to year. Half canola half wheat/oats/barley/ flax/peas.

[Partners]

When to start selling?
20 dollar Dec today.

[BTO780]

When to start selling?
20 dollar Dec today.

These prices should put the price of seed up some more, oh and fert too.
Hurry in and take advantage of the fall specials.
FFS!!!