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who contracted new crop?

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  • Ronski
    Senior Member
    • Jan 2012
    • 339

    who contracted new crop?

    I contracted 35% of my canola at 23 bucks, and have Nov put options on 40 % at 750. Sure hope there is a bounce and they expire worthless.
    I harvest to much feed wheat to contract HRS but did buy Dec 6.50 corn puts for 20% (seems to track feed prices better... I think?).

    I am kicking myself for not doing more (especially the wheat) but I barely filled my canola contracts last year and have a neighbor that had to write a big cheque after a hail storm.

    What do you guys think? Has the ship sailed and we are grinding down to 7 dollar wheat again or is there hope?
    Here in central Alberta crops look very good but heat/hail/frost/6 weeks of rain at harvest can fix that.
  • TOM4CWB
    Senior Member
    • Dec 2000
    • 16511

    #2
    Originally posted by Ronski View Post
    I contracted 35% of my canola at 23 bucks, and have Nov put options on 40 % at 750. Sure hope there is a bounce and they expire worthless.
    I harvest to much feed wheat to contract HRS but did buy Dec 6.50 corn puts for 20% (seems to track feed prices better... I think?).

    I am kicking myself for not doing more (especially the wheat) but I barely filled my canola contracts last year and have a neighbor that had to write a big cheque after a hail storm.

    What do you guys think? Has the ship sailed and we are grinding down to 7 dollar wheat again or is there hope?
    Here in central Alberta crops look very good but heat/hail/frost/6 weeks of rain at harvest can fix that.
    30% peas,
    40% Nexera Canola, Direct Contracted.
    Puts [deep in money now] cover the rest of an average wheat and Canola crop. Calls to cover fuel and 30% of crop if it stops raining. Canola and wheat could make 10 year average... peas 90% perhaps. Fungicide just being completed on everything now. Looking for good basis on wheat for fall delivery... if it becomes available.

    Comment

    • jazz
      Senior Member
      • Jul 2018
      • 9308

      #3
      Didnt book any and usually dont. Too much uncertainty around this yr.

      I suspect with interest rates tightening, you wont see those commodity prices again.

      Comment

      • Partners
        Senior Member
        • May 2010
        • 3105

        #4
        Didn't do much.
        But $$$ sure looks good now on the stuff we did..

        Comment

        • SASKFARMER
          Senior Member
          • Dec 2005
          • 6985

          #5
          Did a half mill for fall delivery

          Peas
          Small amount cAnola

          Wheat

          Comment

          • bucket
            Senior Member
            • Jan 2008
            • 17028

            #6
            30 degrees for 14 days doesn't bode well for estimating crop yield.

            Comment

            • blackpowder
              Senior Member
              • Feb 2010
              • 9300

              #7
              60 -70% presold.
              Specialty crops the exception.
              Selling some 2023 also.
              Call spreads on last bit to cover contract if hail.
              Highs are in for now I feel.
              Average is higher.
              Volatility is the take-home looking forward. Larger, faster swings.
              Affecting costs as well.
              Do your homework these days.

              Comment

              • wmoebis
                Senior Member
                • Aug 1999
                • 2652

                #8
                If prices trend downward is there ways for buyers to get out of contracts and Visa Versa? If yes what/who do farmers use to help negotiate contracts?

                Comment

                • Sheepwheat
                  Senior Member
                  • Jun 2017
                  • 3137

                  #9
                  Wow. This is truly nobody’s business. You guys make me chuckle a bit inside.

                  Comment

                  • blackpowder
                    Senior Member
                    • Feb 2010
                    • 9300

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Sheepwheat View Post
                    Wow. This is truly nobody’s business. You guys make me chuckle a bit inside.
                    Agreed, but thinking grain cos have more sophisticated information and price parameters than Agriville. No trader in a world commodity market hedges based on hear say.
                    Bragging, sharing, learning, at least it's farmer to farmer.

                    Comment

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