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Drew Learners weather podcast

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  • crusher
    Senior Member
    • Jun 2001
    • 1188

    #11
    I based partial marketing plans on Drew's forecasts the last couple of years. Now that was EXPENSIVE!! Not doing that again.

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    • furrowtickler
      Senior Member
      • Dec 2004
      • 21880

      #12
      From Jan 2021
      https://www.realagriculture.com/2021/01/the-good-the-bad-and-potentially-ugly-weather-for-western-canada/

      He warned of a potential problem last Jan

      Comment

      • Old Cowzilla
        Senior Member
        • Nov 2020
        • 1564

        #13
        Over twice the amount of snow compared to this time last year but we won't be mudding anything in just yet. A normal March could be a game changer here.

        Comment

        • BTO780
          Senior Member
          • Nov 2021
          • 541

          #14
          My egg prognostication will be out April 17 ... stay tuned. This will be the true prognostic indicator as to what will take place. 😂

          Comment

          • beaverdam
            Senior Member
            • Mar 2018
            • 1451

            #15
            Originally posted by Old Cowzilla View Post
            Over twice the amount of snow compared to this time last year but we won't be mudding anything in just yet. A normal March could be a game changer here.
            We have a nice snow cover here too, it looks good from the road,,,

            but if you dig in it, it's just dehydrated fluff. We're still in trouble.

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            • helmsdale
              Senior Member
              • Nov 2014
              • 2127

              #16
              Originally posted by beaverdam View Post
              We have a nice snow cover here too, it looks good from the road,,,

              but if you dig in it, it's just dehydrated fluff. We're still in trouble.
              A wee skiff at best here. It's DRY!

              Comment

              • helmsdale
                Senior Member
                • Nov 2014
                • 2127

                #17
                With regards to Drew's last 2 prognosticators, it would seem that we (SE AB) are going into planting with a serious moisture deficit (It's bone dry pretty much from the surface to the water table) and the remaining winter months as well as the critical for establishment months of april/may are not looking good either.

                He figures there is a good chance the rain train starts getting going in a meaningful manner towards the end of may and into June. If we end up with garbage germination off the hop that doesn't start to even out until June though, I've yet to see one of those kinds of crops make much of themselves in this area.

                NOAA's seasonal outlooks are struggling to bring much in the way of moisture into this area for the june/july period (contrary to drew), and Environment Canada seems to be mixed. NOAA updates here in a couple days, and Environment Canada at the beginning of next month.

                With the horrendous drought hangover that we're currently in, I'm of the belief that it will take a significantly above average amount of rainfall to produce an average crop, and near biblical to make for something worth getting truly excited about.

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                • furrowtickler
                  Senior Member
                  • Dec 2004
                  • 21880

                  #18
                  Hopefully the patterns set up and SW sask and southern Alberta get those systems by mid May
                  Lots will be very dry till then
                  We will barely have enough to get the crop in and started

                  Lots can change yet , but yes a huge area in western Canada still very very dry with zero subsoil .

                  Comment

                  • blueversi
                    Senior Member
                    • Apr 2013
                    • 447

                    #19
                    We’re at 50 plus inches of snowfall since November is what I’m told by someone keeping track. Lots blown into the bush and tree lines but was well over my knees in the middle of the field when I was out on the skidoo. There should be some moisture to get things going.

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                    • Sheepwheat
                      Senior Member
                      • Jun 2017
                      • 3137

                      #20
                      Originally posted by blueversi View Post
                      We’re at 50 plus inches of snowfall since November is what I’m told by someone keeping track. Lots blown into the bush and tree lines but was well over my knees in the middle of the field when I was out on the skidoo. There should be some moisture to get things going.
                      We are in our usual pattern here where we are wetter than most. Froze up wet. Piles and piles of snow. I’m more worried about a too wet to seed spring than a dry spring at this point, depending on what spring is like. Went to hook up the stock trailer yesterday, hadn’t used it for a while. Crotch deep snow in the sheltered yard where no blowing occurred. Was down at Regina and was surprised as I thought we all had lots of snow. Way less twenty five miles south of us. And then all the way to Regina is similar.

                      Hope to have hay to sell next year.
                      Last edited by Sheepwheat; Feb 16, 2022, 12:19.

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