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Wheat

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  • BTO780
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2021
    • 541

    Wheat

    This market seems to be the one that is struggling to make gains like others have. It’s been disappointing to say the least. Yes it’s the Christmas blues, but even the prior months it hasn’t done much.
    Again, the world is full of wheat. Doesn’t matter the quality, it’s all about quantity.
    Here’s hoping after the new yr there will be some upside happening as it has a long ways to go to hit farmers expectations. Guess the trade knows what we want and the crooks keep a lid on prices.
  • TOM4CWB
    Senior Member
    • Dec 2000
    • 16511

    #2
    Originally posted by BTO780 View Post
    This market seems to be the one that is struggling to make gains like others have. It’s been disappointing to say the least. Yes it’s the Christmas blues, but even the prior months it hasn’t done much.
    Again, the world is full of wheat. Doesn’t matter the quality, it’s all about quantity.
    Here’s hoping after the new yr there will be some upside happening as it has a long ways to go to hit farmers expectations. Guess the trade knows what we want and the crooks keep a lid on prices.
    This is the first time in modern history... that high quality wheat is traded in an open un-manipulated marketplace[in concert with DNS Mini wheat]. The lack of CWB manipulation [pooling of 12 months western CDN wheat supply] increases volitlity. Wheat Farmers are no less 'greedy' than fertilizer manufacturers... a shortage in supply caused by weather and political instability [Russia] on both counts!

    Comment

    • TechAnalyst
      Senior Member
      • Nov 2017
      • 305

      #3
      It appears as though the bull market correction of the past month has come to an end.

      Buy signals (on indicators I follow) confirmed yesterday on the daily chart suggesting the next leg higher has started. This signal in particular has an initial target of $9.50 with a secondary at $9.90 (for March Chicago wheat). That works well with the next historic resistance on the monthly chart near $9.50 (9.4725 high put in July 2012).

      That would also support the fantastic looking saucer bottom formation playing out on the monthly chart.

      It does suggest developing a marketing plan that works in an increasing price environment.

      Comment

      • wheatking16
        Senior Member
        • Apr 2010
        • 557

        #4
        Originally posted by TechAnalyst View Post
        It appears as though the bull market correction of the past month has come to an end.

        Buy signals (on indicators I follow) confirmed yesterday on the daily chart suggesting the next leg higher has started. This signal in particular has an initial target of $9.50 with a secondary at $9.90 (for March Chicago wheat). That works well with the next historic resistance on the monthly chart near $9.50 (9.4725 high put in July 2012).

        That would also support the fantastic looking saucer bottom formation playing out on the monthly chart.

        It does suggest developing a marketing plan that works in an increasing price environment.
        The saucer bottom formation suggests expensive food in the future and major societal disruptions.

        Comment

        • errolanderson
          Senior Member
          • Jan 2012
          • 3127

          #5
          Wheat prices have turned down recently, primarily led by Chicago . . . .

          Chicago wheat is now technically bearish after recently breaking the 100-day moving average. It may be in the final phase of a head and shoulders chart formation. Near-term rebound possible, but fresh highs not in- the-cards (IMO). Minneapolis spring wheat is also a tired market.

          Many commodities are now starting to roll over. But excellent prices for wheat growers to take advantage of.

          Comment

          • furrowtickler
            Senior Member
            • Dec 2004
            • 21898

            #6
            Originally posted by errolanderson View Post
            Wheat prices have turned down recently, primarily led by Chicago . . . .

            Chicago wheat is now technically bearish after recently breaking the 100-day moving average. It may be in the final phase of a head and shoulders chart formation. Near-term rebound possible, but fresh highs not in- the-cards (IMO). Minneapolis spring wheat is also a tired market.

            Many commodities are now starting to roll over. But excellent prices for wheat growers to take advantage of.
            Prices are ok at best considering huge input pricing , machinery costs and low yields . Will need these prices through next fall to be profitable, but that won’t happen most likely.

            But yes , for those who had crop , no doubt a good opportunity.

            Comment

            • furrowtickler
              Senior Member
              • Dec 2004
              • 21898

              #7
              Nice move up this afternoon 👍

              HRSW basis getting awfully wide though at elevators.
              No one really buying it seems

              Comment

              • WiltonRanch
                Senior Member
                • Jul 2012
                • 4512

                #8
                Originally posted by furrowtickler View Post
                Nice move up this afternoon 👍

                HRSW basis getting awfully wide though at elevators.
                No one really buying it seems
                Bring your samples west.

                Comment

                • errolanderson
                  Senior Member
                  • Jan 2012
                  • 3127

                  #9
                  'Heads up' again . . . . Minneapolis spring cracking with the March breaking below $10/bu. Kansas City and Chicago taking heavy price hits. Major support for March Chicago wheat is seen as low as $7/bu technically should sell-off gain momentum into early 2022.

                  Note: U.S. grain export pace (soybeans, corn and wheat) remain well below year ago levels. A too-strong USD an export deterent . . . .
                  Last edited by errolanderson; Dec 28, 2021, 22:41.

                  Comment

                  • BTO780
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2021
                    • 541

                    #10
                    Why I grow this stuff is beyond me! Getting to be the biggest joke of a commodity.
                    Zero acres next yr.

                    Comment

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