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Grains Looking Weak

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  • wheatking16
    Senior Member
    • Apr 2010
    • 557
    #1

    Grains Looking Weak

    Wheat, Corn & Soybeans looking weak

    https://klarenbach.substack.com/p/wheat-corn-and-beans https://klarenbach.substack.com/p/wheat-corn-and-beans

    Wheat Futures broke the trendline from June 2020
    Click image for larger version Name: 6ka2lszO.jpg Views: 1 Size: 17.3 KB ID: 779635

    Corn broke the trendline from August 2020
    Click image for larger version Name: 60Z6SHcu.jpg Views: 1 Size: 19.4 KB ID: 779636

    Soybeans catching a bounce after breaking the trendline from Augut 2020
    Click image for larger version Name: z5kcvdof.jpg Views: 1 Size: 19.8 KB ID: 779637
    Tags: corn prices, soybean, wheat
    • helmsdale
      Senior Member
      • Nov 2014
      • 2127
      #2
      GFS punched moisture into the next 10 days for corn areas and alot of the drought stricken wheat areas. Personally I dont think HRS can be saved, but possibly still hope for corn?

      Some Traders talking it up as significant drought relief, so weather premium is disappearing.

      Other traders saying its beyond saving as damage has been done.

      Time will tell who's right...

        Comment

        • Sodbuster
          Senior Member
          • Mar 2017
          • 1122
          #3
          Hope the grain companies and traders pound grains and oilseeds down, create more demand and when it does come back and they finally realize that this drought is real, prices will rocket up again. I’m in no hurry to market 2021 crop yet and I’m sure bin space won’t be a problem this year. Still holding a fair bit of oats yet but think that will come back too.

          Click image for larger version Name: 208990CC-652F-4E34-9938-38CF967233DF.jpg Views: 1 Size: 20.0 KB ID: 771277

            Comment

            • furrowtickler
              Senior Member
              • Dec 2004
              • 21864
              #4
              I know we sure as heck will not be pricing anything now till the combines roll on what’s worth combining.

                Comment

                • helmsdale
                  Senior Member
                  • Nov 2014
                  • 2127
                  #5
                  Originally posted by furrowtickler View Post
                  I know we sure as heck will not be pricing anything now till the combines roll on what’s worth combining.
                  This time of year I've usually got a pretty firm, "if it doesnt rain" floor on yield. You can market off of that estimate.

                  Yield floor this year as of now? Right close to zero is a real possibility.

                    Comment

                    • helmsdale
                      Senior Member
                      • Nov 2014
                      • 2127
                      #6
                      MGEX got clubbed like a baby seal today... -$0.5525/bu

                        Comment

                        • bucket
                          Senior Member
                          • Jan 2008
                          • 17024
                          #7
                          Originally posted by helmsdale View Post
                          MGEX got clubbed like a baby seal today... -$0.5525/bu
                          Yup demand should pick up and they still won't be able to find the supply from western Canada...

                          How about that export sales reporting?????

                          Little late to plant wheat here...so where will they find it...when feed wheat is a better price everyday without the extra hassle at the elevator...

                          Protein or not.

                            Comment

                            • shtferbrains
                              Senior Member
                              • Jun 2017
                              • 5188
                              #8
                              To establish a price you need a seller and a buyer.
                              Who are the sellers and are they selling product or just paper?

                                Comment

                                • agstar77
                                  Senior Member
                                  • Jul 2001
                                  • 6178
                                  #9
                                  Some of the early wheat going white. That cannot be good.

                                    Comment

                                    • Ooofty
                                      Senior Member
                                      • Mar 2006
                                      • 110
                                      #10
                                      Early seeded in southern Alberta is drying up like crazy. Heard some guys will be combining south of the number three highway somewhere.

                                        Comment

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