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  • agstar77
    Senior Member
    • Jul 2001
    • 6244

    Downward

    Future prices for all grains are heading lower. When do lenders pull the plug and say it does not make sense to bury money in the ground?
  • farming101
    Senior Member
    • Mar 2011
    • 3955

    #2
    When the wheat chart looks like the oil chart

    Comment

    • JoeyJeremiah
      Senior Member
      • Apr 2016
      • 105

      #3
      When trading I always thought at least when long, the lowest it can go is to zero. The oil chart has proven me wrong. What a disaster.

      Comment

      • agstar77
        Senior Member
        • Jul 2001
        • 6244

        #4
        We have the resources to plant a crop , but should we cut back until the dust settles? If you have to borrow to plant a crop is it really worthwhile or are you doing it as a public service?

        Comment

        • Austrian Economics
          Senior Member
          • Feb 2020
          • 365

          #5
          Many blame coronavirus for falling commodity prices, and undoubtedly it has had a huge impact. But the real cause is 39 years of falling interest rates in fiat currency. As rates fall, producers are incentivized to borrow ever more to produce ever more. It's not just farmers, but related businesses which produce goods and services that improve crop yields. The increased production tempo requires a relentless increase in the debt burden. Periodically, the debt burden becomes too great and these businesses will fail.

          The worst aspect of Keynesian economics is the belief that problems caused by a present debt burden can be erased by making the same debt burden even larger.

          Comment

          • Guest

            #6
            Yes Errol’s proverbial freight train has indeed slammed into the mountain
            CCP virus was just the trigger

            Comment

            • blackpowder
              Senior Member
              • Feb 2010
              • 9325

              #7
              Every time the experts said quit, it paid to keep going. This is not a half in game. Someday I will be wrong lol

              Comment

              • macdon02
                Senior Member
                • Sep 2007
                • 1858

                #8
                Originally posted by agstar77 View Post
                Future prices for all grains are heading lower. When do lenders pull the plug and say it does not make sense to bury money in the ground?
                You got a reversal candle on canola today

                Comment

                • farming101
                  Senior Member
                  • Mar 2011
                  • 3955

                  #9
                  Originally posted by macdon02 View Post
                  You got a reversal candle on canola today
                  A strong reaction off 455 was good to see.
                  I don't expect too much.
                  Palm oil crashed through some multi year support
                  Last edited by farming101; Apr 21, 2020, 14:44.

                  Comment

                  • agstar77
                    Senior Member
                    • Jul 2001
                    • 6244

                    #10
                    Russia will stop exports of wheat till July 1. I am not sure whether this is good or bad. Demand may be there but will anyone be able to afford to pay for it?

                    Comment

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