Trudeau's Liberal gov't won't give you projections,,, but John Hopkins U. will.

[Partners]

[burnt]

Rob Ford one day said "Someday (Doug Ford) is going to be Prime Minister."

[beaverdam]

So, I wanted to come back to the modeling of John Hopkins U.(as the Feds are releasing theirs today)

The day I started this thread I posted the hot link, but not the projected numbers.
For my own interest, I started a spreadsheet with the projections on it, to see when the actual day comes along, just how close JHU projected numbers are to the actual deaths.

So on April 1st(the date I started the this thread) the numbers for Canada at that point were as follows;

9560 cases of the virus
109 deaths
projected deaths in 7days (April 8th) ---- 347
projected deaths in 14 days(April 15) ---- 1078
projected deaths in 21 days(April 22) ---- 3345

So now we have reached April 8th, and can compare the first projected number, to actual number;

Actual deaths up to and including April 8th are; --- 407
That is 17% higher than JHU were projecting for the April 8th date.

Looking at their April 1st projection 14 days out(April 15th) was 1078
Their current projection for 7 days out(April 15th) is now at ---- 1273

Looking at their April 1st projection 21 days out(April 22nd) was 3345
Their current projection for 14 days out(April 22nd) is now at --- 3796

So it's looking at this point that JHU projections for deaths, were on the low side.