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Crude oil

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  • macdon02
    Senior Member
    • Sep 2007
    • 1858

    Crude oil

    Nice outside reversal setting up on monthly level, breakeven on shale is around $16. Downside target retesting 1998 low ~$10? The industry has this habit of "taking out the competition". Just a thought rattling around in my head looking at possible war in middle east (really doesn't get more bullish).
  • AlbertaFarmer5
    Senior Member
    • Oct 2010
    • 12533

    #2
    Originally posted by macdon02 View Post
    Nice outside reversal setting up on monthly level, breakeven on shale is around $16. Downside target retesting 1998 low ~$10? The industry has this habit of "taking out the competition". Just a thought rattling around in my head looking at possible war in middle east (really doesn't get more bullish).
    I'm not following, are you bullish or bearish? Or bearish in the short term, making a cyclical low, and setting up for long term bullish?

    Comment

    • macdon02
      Senior Member
      • Sep 2007
      • 1858

      #3
      Originally posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
      I'm not following, are you bullish or bearish? Or bearish in the short term, making a cyclical low, and setting up for long term bullish?
      Im bearish until we break the double bottom at minimum. I believe it's going to attempt to finish the downward cycle this year. First clue this isn't over with was the artificial stimulation by Alberta Govt on WCS, yeah it bounced but very rarely do these types of events create THE bottom. In reference to the threat of war and that being bullish, it didn't pop enough. It was a sucker's rally meaning it's gonna crash. There's so much happening right now, -it needs a close over 55.30 at minimum month end, to negate the sell signal.

      Comment

      • beaverdam
        Senior Member
        • Mar 2018
        • 1451

        #4
        Is this the chart you're looking at?

        https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/CLPAUS127.CM/interactive-chart https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/CLPAUS127.CM/interactive-chart

        Comment

        • biglentil
          Senior Member
          • Jun 2015
          • 3264

          #5
          Until the corona virus outbreak stabilizes, I would not consider oil.
          Last edited by biglentil; Jan 27, 2020, 10:12.

          Comment

          • macdon02
            Senior Member
            • Sep 2007
            • 1858

            #6
            Originally posted by beaverdam View Post
            Is this the chart you're looking at?

            https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/CLPAUS127.CM/interactive-chart https://www.barchart.com/futures/quotes/CLPAUS127.CM/interactive-chart
            Yes but change your setting to 20yr and you can use either bars or candles. If you zoom in on the current bar it'll give you this, where we've taken out the previous months high and are currently below the previous months low.

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            • beaverdam
              Senior Member
              • Mar 2018
              • 1451

              #7
              Good, Thanks Mac

              Comment

              • wheatking16
                Senior Member
                • Apr 2010
                • 557

                #8
                MacDon, are you seeing something like this?

                Click image for larger version

Name:	FireShot Capture 048 - US oil Idea for TVC_USOIL by Trent.klarenbach — TradingView_ - www.trad.jpg
Views:	1
Size:	13.6 KB
ID:	769336

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