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Markets ignoring unharvested crops on prairies

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  • Oilking
    Member
    • Dec 2013
    • 64

    Markets ignoring unharvested crops on prairies

    There is a fairly significant percentage of crops still out there that won't get combined. Is it really not that big of a deal? Was in southern Manitoba yesterday and there's field after field of soybeans left. Also seen still lots of canola and even wheat out there. Is this really not enough to trigger a good rally ?
  • bigzee
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2010
    • 1113

    #2
    Originally posted by Oilking View Post
    There is a fairly significant percentage of crops still out there that won't get combined. Is it really not that big of a deal? Was in southern Manitoba yesterday and there's field after field of soybeans left. Also seen still lots of canola and even wheat out there. Is this really not enough to trigger a good rally ?
    Not when bins are full of carry over, and demand is stagnant.

    Comment

    • Partners
      Senior Member
      • May 2010
      • 3105

      #3
      There is enough harvested to meet demand.
      Same old story.

      Comment

      • helmsdale
        Senior Member
        • Nov 2014
        • 2127

        #4
        Im reminded of where prices were prior to harvest...

        Canola sub 10, with some saying it was heading below 9. It actually did go below 9 in a few locations here locally.

        Durum was sub 7.

        Wheat was sub 6 with ZERO effective return for high quality. In many cases, it was trailing the feed market!



        Perhaps the only thing keeping prices completely out of the gutter this year is the fact that there is still crop in the field?

        Comment

        • fjlip
          Senior Member
          • Oct 2002
          • 9846

          #5
          Farmer selling = price ceiling... wait them out or feed the bastards, probably June sometime IF, IF quality/ quantity is proven short supply, taking the whole world's numbers of course!
          Last edited by fjlip; Nov 3, 2019, 20:18.

          Comment

          • the big wheel
            Senior Member
            • Mar 2017
            • 3860

            #6
            We re getting screwed more then we ever did?
            Has canola oil gone down? Beer? Bread? No everyone else reaping in profits we re getting hosed by everyone including the government and opposition we so proudly put in place.

            But but but we have to save the oil industry we have to save the oil industry and that will fix all the ag problems?????

            Comment

            • bucket
              Senior Member
              • Jan 2008
              • 17028

              #7
              Yup and it's because you hear your representatives say it's a open market or their organization doesn't set the price....

              There is no open market currently in any commodity....it's how much can they steal....

              The US market is subsidized and there is no market exchange for peas lentils flax durum mustard etc.....but there is a market for taking checkoffs. ...where a few set the checkoff tax....

              Comment

              • woodland
                Senior Member
                • Aug 2015
                • 1972

                #8
                Originally posted by bigzee View Post
                Not when bins are full of carry over, and demand is stagnant.
                Bugger all for carryover around here. Most people cleaned everything out in the summer because everything was projected to be going downhill.

                Comment

                • poorboy
                  Senior Member
                  • Oct 2000
                  • 903

                  #9
                  Demand is an all year event. They don't need all the grain right now. If the crop does not come off and supplies get tight the market will rally later on in the crop year (ie next spring and summer).

                  If you look at a smaller market like feed barley, it takes a price dive at harvest from all the extra supply and often rallies into the following summer as sellers and supply disappear.

                  Comment

                  • tweety
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2014
                    • 3059

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Oilking View Post
                    There is a fairly significant percentage of crops still out there that won't get combined. Is it really not that big of a deal? Was in southern Manitoba yesterday and there's field after field of soybeans left. Also seen still lots of canola and even wheat out there. Is this really not enough to trigger a good rally ?
                    Reality is its less then 10% and the yields are up. So no, not a big deal at all.

                    Comment

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