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Wheat

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  • bigzee
    Senior Member
    • Nov 2010
    • 1113

    Wheat

    I’m still holding 100% of mine from last year, thinking of moving some with this latest rally.
    Kicked myself for not selling at $6.80, it’s now $6.73, nothing great but better tha it was month and half ago. With not being in the mainline we don’t get the prices other do on the mainline, would like $7, but going to need something real big to get it there.
    How much is the drought going to affect prices? States are washing and we can’t buy a drop.
    They are comparing this spring to 07 as far as moisture totals, that year durum hit $15 bu.
    Oh ya that was courtesy of the good ol CWB.
    If the dollar would take a nose dive wheat prices could rise, along with everything else.
    I’m just afraid one rain event and prices will plummet, like they can go any lower.
  • farmaholic
    Senior Member
    • Sep 2010
    • 17471

    #2
    People would rather argue about climate change than give you their solid opinion.

    We are hauling right now.

    Contracted it at the end of the first week in March for $6.90. #1-13.5. Was supposed to be July delivery, but the terminal is far enough into their major renovations that they are able to take in and load out grain again. Earlier doesn't matter to me this time.

    Same terminal is currently at $6.69 spot or $6.75 for July for #1-13.5.

    Comment

    • farmaholic
      Senior Member
      • Sep 2010
      • 17471

      #3
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      I think a widespread meaningful rain event will change prices.

      But remember....Canada's production "supposedly" doesn't matter.

      Are you profitable at the current price you could get?

      Comment

      • farmaholic
        Senior Member
        • Sep 2010
        • 17471

        #4
        Here's a dose of honesty for you, Back about December 18 I let almost $7.50 slip away....

        Comment

        • bucket
          Senior Member
          • Jan 2008
          • 17020

          #5
          Canada's production doesn't matter until it does....

          Australia is importing grain.

          The US is having issues with their seeding and soon their winter wheat harvest
          - one custom combine operator had 6800 acres booked and had that reduced to 400 after a hail storm

          Last year was a bad year for the EU harvest

          And yet the world is awash in grains...even when they switch to protein burgers

          Comment

          • bigzee
            Senior Member
            • Nov 2010
            • 1113

            #6
            Originally posted by farmaholic View Post
            [ATTACH]4317[/ATTACH]

            I think a widespread meaningful rain event will change prices.

            But remember....Canada's production "supposedly" doesn't matter.

            Are you profitable at the current price you could get?
            I agree we don’t count in the “big picture”
            With today’s price and last years yield it’s a decent return, better than durum.

            Comment

            • Partners
              Senior Member
              • May 2010
              • 3105

              #7
              Originally posted by farmaholic View Post
              Here's a dose of honesty for you, Back about December 18 I let almost $7.50 slip away....
              We got 7.11 in Jan..
              One good rain and prices will be in a downward spiral..

              Comment

              • bucket
                Senior Member
                • Jan 2008
                • 17020

                #8
                Originally posted by Partners View Post
                We got 7.11 in Jan..
                One good rain and prices will be in a downward spiral..
                How is it that Canada's production doesn't matter and after a rain event the prices slide....its raining in the states??????

                Comment

                • Partners
                  Senior Member
                  • May 2010
                  • 3105

                  #9
                  Originally posted by bucket View Post
                  How is it that Canada's production doesn't matter and after a rain event the prices slide....its raining in the states??????
                  The local terminals don't follow the U.S. Prices..
                  They rip us off..because they can..

                  Comment

                  • bigzee
                    Senior Member
                    • Nov 2010
                    • 1113

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Partners View Post
                    The local terminals don't follow the U.S. Prices..
                    They rip us off..because they can..
                    One of my locals “say” they follow Minni prices. Guess I have to believe them ... heck what do I know?? As long as it keeps raining on the winter wheat crops the more prices should rise. Pretty certain they must be full of disease by now.

                    Comment

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