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The Economy

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  • jazz
    Senior Member
    • Jul 2018
    • 9308

    The Economy

    Havent heard from Errol ins a while but there sure are some ominous signs in the market starting with the inverted yield curve which hasn't happened since 2007.

    Now this story that central banks are big buyers of US stocks. The US economy is stronger than most of the world but this is troubling because govt institutions should not own private assets. That's socialism with huge economic risks to us all and inflating the US equity market.

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-ledbetter-centralbanks-commentary/commentary-are-central-banks-embracing-too-much-risk-idUSKBN1JN1YT Commentary: Are central banks embracing too much risk?
  • errolanderson
    Senior Member
    • Jan 2012
    • 3159

    #2
    Inverted bond market which occurred last Friday is a fairly reliable indicator of an incoming U.S. recession.

    3-month bills were trading at 2.44 percent, while the 10-year was at 2.38 percent. The 10-year German bund was actually at negative 0.3 percent.

    Stock markets continue to be propt-up by central bank manipulation. Fed may be forced to cut rates later this year as a lifeboat for stock markets. Bank of Canada remains in la-la land suggesting Canada’s economy is strong enough for future rate hikes.

    Is there a potential market dust-up this year? . . . you betcha (IMO).

    Comment

    • mcfarms
      Senior Member
      • Nov 2004
      • 1700

      #3
      This the place where I have been known to jump in and tell Errol hes being his normal negative self and that it isn't going to happen .
      Not this time.

      Comment

      • SASKFARMER3
        Senior Member
        • Feb 2006
        • 14485

        #4
        USA will slow a little next year. Interest rate will stay steady😊

        Canada hahahahahaga will continue down the road of a shit show. Thank a liberal

        Comment

        • ajl
          Senior Member
          • May 2008
          • 3266

          #5
          What is interesting here is that the US is the last and only hope of the entire world such that even the Swiss central bank is in the US stock market. Every other nation is a zombie on its way to failed socialist state status. The US is one election mistake away from that status as well so will it manage to pull up or join the rest of us in the toilet bowl? I know Errol's position on this.

          Comment

          • grassfarmer
            Senior Member
            • Jul 2002
            • 9734

            #6
            Originally posted by SASKFARMER3 View Post
            USA will slow a little next year. Interest rate will stay steady😊

            Canada hahahahahaga will continue down the road of a shit show. Thank a liberal
            Thanks SF3!

            For all the American fans - you do realize you can move there if it's so great? I can just imagine the crying down the roads if some of you did and Chelsea Clinton was a future President.

            Comment

            • farmaholic
              Senior Member
              • Sep 2010
              • 17488

              #7
              Originally posted by grassfarmer View Post
              Thanks SF3!

              For all the American fans - you do realize you can move there if it's so great? I can just imagine the crying down the roads if some of you did and Chelsea Clinton was a future President.
              Not another family legacy (leader)President. One Trump will be enough too!

              Comment

              • SASKFARMER3
                Senior Member
                • Feb 2006
                • 14485

                #8
                Chelsea Clinton woundnt get through the first round to get the nomination.

                I love the USA I think they love their country and will fight to the death for it. Millennials well that’s another story, we’re all equal participation badges for all.

                Canada has turned into the shit show that trump talked about.

                Keep telling us how great trudeau is boys.

                Hahahah
                Last edited by SASKFARMER3; Mar 26, 2019, 12:21.

                Comment

                • jazz
                  Senior Member
                  • Jul 2018
                  • 9308

                  #9
                  It wont matter who the next president after trump is. He will have set the country on the right path for the next 100 yrs and no democrat will be able to derail it. meantime, Canada will fail, socially, economically and politically. Its baked in. I would say a US green card is the best investment you can give your kids.

                  Comment

                  • ajl
                    Senior Member
                    • May 2008
                    • 3266

                    #10
                    Originally posted by grassfarmer View Post
                    Thanks SF3!

                    For all the American fans - you do realize you can move there if it's so great? I can just imagine the crying down the roads if some of you did and Chelsea Clinton was a future President.
                    For most of us, immigrating to the US would involve an investment of $1000000 US that would result in either the creation of 10 full time equivalent jobs or the saving of 10 jobs if in a business that is on its last legs. In rural areas that number drops to $500000. Otherwise you need to be qualified to get a job in a specialized field and have an employer sponsor you. A class 1 license in some areas may be enough ie Texas oilfield. Otherwise US immigration is a very long line with no guarantees. You can be sponsored by family as well. I do know a cousin to my wife who moved south a couple years ago along with their kids but his wife is a US citizen. As far as I know, there are no plans to come back.

                    Comment

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