Crude Collapse / Stock Washout / Deflation / Real Estate Fallout

[grassfarmer]

Farmers do cut back when the bank account is empty and the banker says no to operating lines. Has happened before. There was some land, albeit lower quality, that was without a renter in 2006 before the great inflation. Will see that again in the next couple of years. I remember a land auction in spring 2006 in the Yorkton SK area where the auctioneer was begging for $50K a quarter for cultivated ground.

One or two quarters or farms here or there maybe but as burnt says it will never happen on a national scale, and in fact it would have to happen on a global scale to have any effect. Waste of time even talking about it.

[errolanderson]

Stock market bear country . . . .

Reported S&P Index stock fallout from recent highs.

Facebook down 39%
Citigroup down 35%
Apple down 33%
Amazon down 29%
Home Depot down 24%
Walmart down 21%

Central bankers had better get their stories right.
Corporate bankruptcies are set to soar in 2019.

[bucket]

Stock market bear country . . . .

Reported S&P Index stock fallout from recent highs.

Facebook down 39%
Citigroup down 35%
Apple down 33%
Amazon down 29%
Home Depot down 24%
Walmart down 21%

Central bankers had better get their stories right.
Corporate bankruptcies are set to soar in 2019.

Can you post DEERE, CNH, AGCO, NUTRIEN, ANY CHEM CO???????

And maybe a little look into the vaults at federated coop?????

[jimmy]

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If only that were feasible.

I would offer that that will never happen because farming is a guaranteed business - meaning that it is guaranteed to continue year after year, regardless of the bottom line, because of the following:

- the land is there

- the mortgage/taxes need to be paid regardless

- the will to produce is ingrained in farmers (pardon the pun)

- farmers are so independent that they will never all band together to enact a stoppage

- list your reason...




So, regardless of how bad it gets, the suppliers and graincos have absolutely no fear of that ever happening.

Unless, of course there would be a total collapse the likes of which one would never want to see or experience.


And that could happen.

I think it’s more to farmers being in dept and need to make payments then all of the above.

[farmaholic]

What ****en economic value does Facebook and Apple(and the likes) really provide...to me they're "black holes" for money. Can you really consider them creating any "necessary" wealth? But people and companies will continue to pour money into these making them profitable....hardly anything tangible...especially Facebook.

[bucket]

What ****en economic value does Facebook and Apple(and the likes) really provide...to me they're "black holes" for money. Can you really consider them creating any "necessary" wealth? But people and companies will continue to pour money into these making them profitable....hardly anything tangible...especially Facebook.

farmaholic

Remember the old party lines for rural farms....it was called rubbering if you listened in on neighbours phone calls...thats why everyone visited in person....

Facebook is just the new party lines ...eventually people will wake the **** up..

Disclaimer...I am not on Facebook or twitter...Just Agriville...

[jazz]

This looks eerily like 2008. That year commodity prices were actually good and then inputs like fertilizer spiked, then the entire market crashed and prices for everything were reset.

[errolanderson]

This looks eerily like 2008. That year commodity prices were actually good and then inputs like fertilizer spiked, then the entire market crashed and prices for everything were reset.

jazz . . . watch the credit markets . . . that's the canary-in-the-coalmine.

If credit begins to seize-up between banks (LIBOR rate), huge warning of repeat of 2008.

[bucket]

jazz . . . watch the credit markets . . . that's the canary-in-the-coalmine.

If credit begins to seize-up between banks (LIBOR rate), huge warning of repeat of 2008.

Credit seizes up ....you will see starving people like never before....What another great opportunity for Westons to **** the canadian consumer again...

[sawfly1]

Just heard on radio federated made 1billion. Bulk from fuel sales.
Pay out to local coops 780 million.
Got a great dividend from
North West Terminal in Unity.
7000 on a share that was purchased originally for 20; something.

Not sure what is going on there.
They have to change their ownership , to comply with tax rules.

Shares are Going public .
I have no idea , if the dividend
Was some kind of poison pill,
Before going public.
To stall a takeover or something.

Interesting though.

Back to federated , I have a conspiracy theory , with no proof of any kind.
With what we pay localy , for groceries , lumber, hardware.
I get the feeling , we are subsidising the city stores. So they can compete with the Walmart s
Superstores .etc.
It should not cost 3$ more for a box of cereal here than in NB
Or Saskatoon.