Harvest

[blackpowder]

Sat a lot of Septembers but never with such a bleak forecast and so much out yet.
Has been too saturated to grind through for weeks.

[Partners]

Canola down modestly this morning again! There’s no panic she’s early yet. Won’t need to lock the bins crops still in fields.

To much canola forward priced..
Let's see what happens when it's not delivered in Sept.?

[bigzee]

Want to hear something scary... the last time Chicago soybean futures were
in the $8.00-8.25/bu area, canola was trading around $360-370/tonne
(2007)...and that was with soyoil about 2 cents higher than it is now. The
Canadian dollar was at about the same level as now.

That’s puts canola around $8.40 minus the basis.
We made money back then with cheap seed and fert.

[Sheepwheat]

No one has gone for two weeks here. I have not yet been able to harvest a bushel, personally. Kinda stressful indeed. Seen this a lot, but boy the forecast is poor. Highs in the singles, rain every few days.

Wish I had seeded barley. It and the two pea fields are all that has been done so far.

A glimpse of the sun would be great already.

[furrowtickler]

Sat a lot of Septembers but never with such a bleak forecast and so much out yet.
Has been too saturated to grind through for weeks.

Yes that’s the worrisome thing .
Plus the last time this happened, land and rental cost were half or less, inputs 50% less, machinery costs were 1/2 . It’s a far different ball game right now .
Haveing to sit through September is nothing new , but never with this much out or this much at stake is the general take in this area .

[sawfly1]

Not a good feeling. With 60% of my income ,soaking wet and a crappy forecast. Lucky that it is all swathed canola.
Lucky until it spends a winter out.
All those hard decisions. At what moisture do you start.
Env. Canada says a nice fall coming . Nice of them.
But we know what that is worth.

[GDR]

Not a lot done around here, some guys haven't started, I'd guess 20% of area done. Haven't actually had any amount of rain Just drizzle and flurries for 2 weeks. Had 2 hours of sun yesterday only Sun in 2 weeks. The neighbors solar powered entry gate ran out of juice, had to laugh at that.

Worst part of the forecast is that every day they add one more day of this. Hopefully the full moon straightens it out, likely will.

Don't know how you guys grind through tough grain, must be differences in environmental conditions. A point or two is ok but 18 to 20% wheat most times would be hard to tell if the combine was moving and I'd be throwing as much over as in the tank. Maybe because we grow lots of straw and have higher humidity

[fjlip]

STUCK weather, just like the HOT/DRY 2 months. Check satellite, sunny starts at US border, like WTF is with picking on Canada? Appears like shit is coming S from the N pole? Thanks Siberia. In 2009 after a month or more of this crap, almost all canola was still in swath. No snow that I remember here. Desperate neighbors combined some canola over 20%, dried twice and some still spoiled! Others took at 15% and saved their farm. By Nov 17 we got the wheat done at 17%, white as snow of course. Dried for neighbors till too much frost on drier fan in Dec. Just wonderful, could be a repeat.

[Sheepwheat]

STUCK weather, just like the HOT/DRY 2 months. Check satellite, sunny starts at US border, like WTF is with picking on Canada? Appears like shit is coming S from the N pole? Thanks Siberia. In 2009 after a month or more of this crap, almost all canola was still in swath. No snow that I remember here. Desperate neighbors combined some canola over 20%, dried twice and some still spoiled! Others took at 15% and saved their farm. By Nov 17 we got the wheat done at 17%, white as snow of course. Dried for neighbors till too much frost on drier fan in Dec. Just wonderful, could be a repeat.

2009 almost nothing was done until nov. yes there had been snow on the swaths, like four inches. Amazingly it melted off, and combining canola at 14 and less. 2004, same thing. Combined oats at 19 mt. On Remembrance Day.

Lots can happen, but these weather ruts are crazy. 2002, combined wheat in October with snow on the ground. Thankfully it was standing, and thankfully the snow did not flatten it.

Combined canola with snow on the swaths too. Just has to be cold, and the pull type I had was perfect, no engine heat...

[helmsdale]

What is this "sun" that some of you talk of? Haven't seen it in it seems like months... First the smoke blocked it out for days on end, now perpetual cloud has had it shrowded nearly every day since the smoke buggered off. Wheat that has been in for 120 days still isnt ready to go. There were warm days that dried the straw out good enough to ram through a combine, but no sun to physically cure things out.

Short range env canada forecast has a chance of showers or at the very least "cloudy" as the forecast for the next 7 days. Accuweather gives a bleak assessment for october. It has sept 30 to oct 4 as sunny, then off and on showers and flurries till the 23rd.