Canola Forecasts Wide Ranging!

[Hamloc]

15 million ,early frost less than that.

Agree 100%, eastern Alberta, southern Alberta really dry no doubt poor yields, central Alberta east of red deer where I am very dry, probably lost 25% of yield in last month. Can't see over 15 million.

[LEP]

There is good and bad out there. Some of it right beside each other. My guess is 17.8 to 18 mmt.

[furrowtickler]

I highly doubt anything over 18 is possible . The very dry area and very high winds and temperatures during flowering is going to surprise even the best areas.
Too much flower blast all over western Canada this summer to even remotely get over 18mt

[SASKFARMER3]

LEP your area has some nice fields as it caught a few rains but you don't have to go very Far East west north or south of you and it changes fast. Go south of white city and then head towards Regina that corner section that's canola. Will go what 23 to 27 last year a mile east of that was a 60 plus. That's reality for canola and I'm probably high with his yield this year.

[errolanderson]

There is good and bad out there. Some of it right beside each other. My guess is 17.8 to 18 mmt.

That's our estimate as well (ProMarket Wire) . . . .

[mbratrud]

My guess is 1/3 of the acres average 25bpa and 2/3 average 40bpa. That puts me at around 17.9mmt

[LEP]

Bahaha. Our area got 4 tenths from about June 20th to date. I expect maybe a 30 bu crop.

I have driven across the province a few times and alittle in Manitoba. That is what I am basing my guesstimate on.

[Klause]

Alberta and Manitoba better have masisve crops because I've been from Carrot River and 35 miles north of PA to Adsinaboia Swift Current and Estevan.


We are in one of the garden patches well on the fringes of it but we will be below last year for sure. Small areas like north of PA and around Lake Lenore and Spalding look. Ery good... But large areas like highway 16 to US border look horrible and if guys think that canola will run 30... Haha...

There's gonna be lots of 10-20 bpa in Sask. I'll peg Sask average at 31. If it freezes first week of September 26 or 27 bpa

[Ache4Acres]

he

Did a bit more crop inspecting today as we wait for the wheat. I can say crops farther south from us are worse yet...hard to imagine but there will be lots of 15 bushel canola south of Hwy 33. Most Flax is ugly beyond comprehension as well.

I guess you always consider yourself lucky because it's always worse Somewhere

[furrowtickler]

Half of Alberta had 35 deg temps during flowering, huge crop there impossible