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Has the U.S. Recession Already Begun? . . . .

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  • errolanderson
    Senior Member
    • Jan 2012
    • 3124

    Has the U.S. Recession Already Begun? . . . .

    U.S. data released over the past month shows the economic ship is starting to lean.

    Latest U.S. jobs creation showed a stunning decline.
    U.S. CPI data released this morning is now actually negative (deflation).
    Consumer spending is slowing. Retail fallout continues.
    4th quarter U.S. GDP was well below expectation of 1.9%.
    Now The Atlanta Fed is now projecting 1st quarter U.S. GDP at just 0.6%.

    Changes in U.S. heath care appeared stalled. Will Trump tax reform fail?

    The U.S. dollar appears too high suggesting further recovery in other currencies including the Cdn dollar.

    But the Fed continues to tell investors the U.S. economy remains in steady recovery.
    Janet Yellen is banging-the-drum of multi Fed rate hikes this year.
    But in-reality, chances these rates hikes may as probable as the Flames winning the Stanley Cup.

    Now stir in North Korea . . . .

    Market volatility is about to pick up (IMO).
  • Rareearth
    Senior Member
    • Aug 2012
    • 1618

    #2
    The usa automotive industry is diving right now as well. Sales way down.

    Comment

    • Rareearth
      Senior Member
      • Aug 2012
      • 1618

      #3
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      Comment

      • Rareearth
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2012
        • 1618

        #4
        Seeing it is one thing
        Believing it is another
        Acting or reacting is important ( doing nothing is something, and easiest)defence or offensive
        Timing is everything

        Comment

        • errolanderson
          Senior Member
          • Jan 2012
          • 3124

          #5
          The U.S. auto industry is now in a subprime loan crisis of its own.

          Suspect used car prices will be in-decline as inventories swell.

          Comment

          • grassfarmer
            Senior Member
            • Jul 2002
            • 9734

            #6
            Fake news LOL.
            The economy is great, fantastic, the best it's ever been. Auto sales are huuuge - we're making America great again!

            Comment

            • macdon02
              Senior Member
              • Sep 2007
              • 1858

              #7
              Sabre rattling and recessions usually don't end well. Stay tuned.

              Comment

              • errolanderson
                Senior Member
                • Jan 2012
                • 3124

                #8
                An economic facade created by the manipulation of the U.S. Federal Reserve protecting Wall Street at all cost. Their balance sheet is now larger than the entire U.S. GDP.

                They now must unwind this balance sheet . . . .

                Comment

                • iceman
                  Senior Member
                  • Dec 2014
                  • 751

                  #9
                  What I heard was the USA car loan industry is now over 1 trillion dollars and over 1/3 of those loans are between 72 and 84 months in duration.

                  Something has to change these equity prices are insanely over valued right now. Look no further than Tesla.

                  Going to cash might be the thing to do right now

                  Iceman out

                  Comment

                  • farmaholic
                    Senior Member
                    • Sep 2010
                    • 17479

                    #10
                    Why not buy over inflated Ag land? It's as good a place as any to lose value.

                    Comment

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