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Canola old crop bloodbath

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  • farming101
    Senior Member
    • Mar 2011
    • 3950

    Canola old crop bloodbath

    Old crop being bludgeoned severely. Unwarranted IMHO
    May open interest did an uptick yesterday. A little abnormal but not without precedent
    CGC week 33 domestic disappearance numbers still don't add up

    Puts have gone parabolic
    Click image for larger version

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  • Braveheart
    Senior Member
    • Feb 2001
    • 3257

    #2
    Did I hear correctly that China had cancelled some purchases? What other fundamentals are impacting? Or is it also technical. Did funds exit some large positions?

    Comment

    • errolanderson
      Senior Member
      • Jan 2012
      • 3122

      #3
      Originally posted by Braveheart View Post
      Did I hear correctly that China had cancelled some purchases? What other fundamentals are impacting? Or is it also technical. Did funds exit some large positions?
      China is now a in a credit crisis. Their lending rate between banks shot up this week. Not good news for resource-based countries like Brazil, Australia and Canada.

      Comment

      • crusher
        Senior Member
        • Jun 2001
        • 1188

        #4
        Errol,

        When you say ""shot up", what does that mean? Going from 1.2% to 1.35?

        Comment

        • bucket
          Senior Member
          • Jan 2008
          • 17016

          #5
          It's just another marketing play in the book.

          China will never let people go hungry....it will make the middle east look like playground....

          Comment

          • errolanderson
            Senior Member
            • Jan 2012
            • 3122

            #6
            Crusher, here's the story from Market Watch . . . . .

            China's repurchase (repo) rate (interbank borrowing rate) shot to 5.5% on Tuesday, up from 3.85% on Monday. This will impact all commodities globally . . . .

            http://www.marketwatch.com/story/chinas-economy-is-on-the-verge-of-a-painful-credit-crunch-2017-03-22

            Comment

            • crusher
              Senior Member
              • Jun 2001
              • 1188

              #7
              Thanks Errol, tis a significant butt squeeze. Lots of people around here wouldn't like that either.
              Todd

              Comment

              • bgmb
                Senior Member
                • Jan 2007
                • 1645

                #8
                This is awesome prefect timing for markets to tank just before spring seeding and spring harvesting of canola. The more they go down now the quicker they will be shooting up in a couple weeks. The crop in the field is probably mostly a write off nobody is going to buy that spring thrashed shit.

                Comment

                • the big wheel
                  Senior Member
                  • Mar 2017
                  • 3860

                  #9
                  Outstanding!!!

                  Comment

                  • iceman
                    Senior Member
                    • Dec 2014
                    • 751

                    #10
                    Originally posted by wiseguy
                    Blaming the china man so they can pay less !

                    Yes big wheeler ! Outstanding !!
                    You can also buy cheap wiseguy

                    If a wingman wants to take a flyer buying July with tight supplies and with this crop still out might be a good one to take


                    Iceman thinking of buying

                    Comment

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