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    Oilseeds

    Canola closed stronger on Wednesday, as a rally in Chicago Board of Trade soybeans spilled over to provide support. Ongoing harvest delays in parts of Western Canada, and the uncertainty over how much of the crop may be left to overwinter, added to the gains in canola, according to participants. Supportive chart signals contributed to the gains, although some profit-taking came forward at the highs. In addition, losses in CBOT soyoil, large US production, and relatively favorable South American crop conditions all served to limit the advances to some extent. About 38,447 canola contracts were traded on Wednesday, which compares with Tuesday when 42,704 contracts changed hands. Spreading was a feature, accounting for 28,002 of the contracts traded. (DJ)
    The global ****seed oil market will be in deficit in 2016-17, research firm Mintec forecasts. It sees production falling 3% year-over-year to 26.8 million metric tons in 2016-17, outpacing a 1% drop in consumption to 27.2 million tons. Year-end stocks will fall by 18% to 4.2 million tons. The global deficit reflects a 5% expected drop in EU production to 9.7 million tons after heavy rains hit yields in Germany and France. Forecasts of a tighter market have pushed ****seed oil prices up 11% so far in October. (DJ)

    #2
    but, but, but ..... Canada doesnt matter , remember ? it's a record crop remember ? next time someone tries to feed you this shit , tell them to f$&k off !

    Comment


      #3
      Number of factors in-addition to harvest delays now supporting canola.

      Palm oil prices are rising due to estimated 10% cutback in Malaysian production.

      Soyoil futures have rocketed largely to palm support and soybean strength.

      Soybeans are surging above $10/bu despite record yields on aggressive China buying to feed hog expansion.

      Funds are now building long position.

      Cdn dollar has weakened . . . .

      Comment


        #4
        So how high will the grain companies let it go?

        11.00. 12.00. Or higher?

        Comment


          #5
          Partners . . . that may depend on an ongoing rally in global veg oil markets. Palm oil has been driven by supply cut and China demand.

          But China is notorious for stopping buying suddenly. That may happen to soybeans. When that day-of-reckoning occurs, the U.S. soy complex and canola is apt to pullback and take a breather.

          But for now, cash markets look quite firm . . . .

          Comment


            #6
            Originally posted by errolanderson View Post
            Number of factors in-addition to harvest delays now supporting canola.

            Palm oil prices are rising due to estimated 10% cutback in Malaysian production.

            Soyoil futures have rocketed largely to palm support and soybean strength.

            Soybeans are surging above $10/bu despite record yields on aggressive China buying to feed hog expansion.

            Funds are now building long position.

            Cdn dollar has weakened . . . .
            And harvest pressure happy hour is over . something happens somewhere every year but they try to make us believe the whole f$&king world will have a bumper (no now its a record ) crop every year . Why are oats , wheat, feed barley ,flax and just about everything else going up ? $10 canola not looking so good now . People around here that booked $10 canola and grew a half or third of a crop might be done farming . Thats a big hole to buy your way out of . Lots of 15bpa canola here on some of the best land in sask ! Lots still in the field and a lot more than 20% . One should keep that in mind when theyre trying to shove those one sided f$&king contracts down our throat next year. You guys that had a bumper crop should keep it in mind .this 40 " rain we had , can and will happen everywhere .

            Comment


              #7
              Originally posted by Partners View Post
              So how high will the grain companies let it go?

              11.00. 12.00. Or higher?
              $11.55 apr del bunge nipawin

              Comment


                #8
                Peas $8 at an elevator here also ?

                Comment


                  #9
                  Prices should rise.but how high will the basis go?.

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Our dollar is quite weak, canola should be $12 plus. Soybean bids in mb have responded to rising soy futures and declining cdn dollar, bids of 12 bucks this week. Lots of talk of dropping canola acres next yr due to disparity in input costs with beans

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