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    #11
    el nino or not you will never outguess it.
    the reserve subsoil moisture is the only reason we have a crop at all this
    year. with the driest may june on record. like 120 years

    if it has not recharged by next spring. we are gambling like in the 80s.
    but the bets are 4 times bigger now


    you can have the drought if you want SF3 . i will gladly take 150% of normal every year.

    i never dreamed i would see 4 years as wet as the preceding last four.
    never though i would see 100 bushel
    wheat either.

    we could just as easily have a ten year super drought which would crush us all.

    hopefully you get your drought and we get the rain

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      #12
      Tom I hate to disagree but in region 4 things are a lot worse than you posted pastures are gust about gone hay is 25/40% normal and the grains I think more are burning than ripining but will have to wait for the combines to know for sure. Grasshoppers I dont know what the threshold is but I would estimate 50 or more per sq ft and all sizes. Rain about 40% normal and a lot of that is the 2/3mm stuff that realy dosent do squat.

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        #13
        I sprayed my peas today but right beside it th neighbors reseeded canola was as yellow as it gets. Probably 20% is like that in the area. Some later peas started flowering again with the showers on th weekend. All I'm saying is some of this crop needs to avoid frost into September.

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          #14
          Horse,

          There is no doubt the showers were hit and miss. Some growers I know will have average crops. others have fields that are as you say 40 percent of normal.

          This all thrown together gets to the AB AG averages... which are not far off what I see!

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            #15
            so why are all these places declaring disasters? Klause hit the nail on the head about crops driving down the highway look good put the swather into it and its not that good, that won t be everywhere but those areas that had the heat when it was dry at the early stages most definitely had more effect than people realized, also see lots of white blank heads in wheat and the shitty canary seed crops in places I expected better.

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              #16
              Horse I never said we were dry and it was bad! I did say we're back to normal and water is going away! We have nice crops on their way. Actually some really nice crops! So yes three more dry years and everything will be back to normal!

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                #17
                Drove highway 40 going east of North Battleford. I noticed the casino is getting new asphalt parking lot.
                Just leaving the city the crops are turning gold especially the wheat and peas. Very near the city there was a short little crop oats, i doubt they will make 40 bu/acre. The sprayers will be rolling there soon.
                Between NB and Hafford there must be a thousand acres of hemp planted! It looks really good. I have never seen so much hemp in one place!

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                  #18
                  How are they going to market that hemp?

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                    #19
                    While everyone else was receiving inches of rain last weekend, our area had 1-2mm. Crops turning hard and fast. 80 percent of peas are sprayed or are being swathed. Rye half combined, winter wheat crop has a good start coming off already. Early spring wheat crop nearly all turned, some fields being sprayed. Some canola fields starting to turn and might be as close as a week from swathing.
                    Sure could have used an inch of rain last weekend to finish everything, guess we're gonna have to rely on our plentiful reserves. All surface water on cultivated land is now gone, finally after five years. Water in grass sloughs is down greatly.
                    In away, happy to have the lower humidity, not looking for rain now, that window pasted last weekend. We're in that exciting time of year, when you don't think you can get your equipment serviced fast enough, cause the crop is coming! Everyone is horny to go, lets get'er done! SESK

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                      #20
                      Riders. Counties declare ag disaster to free up programs and funding. This time cattle related mostly. Tax deferrals on sales for ex. And the counties that declared it had reason.

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