Drought situation - Sask

**cottonpicken** · May 25, 2008, 09:32

Thankya Jeezuss!

Were getting a nice rain.

**LWeber** · May 25, 2008, 09:37

http://www.weatheroffice.gc.ca/radar/index_e.html?id=XBE

**checking** · May 25, 2008, 10:28

Watch the markets crash on Monday. "Beneficial rains" will be repeated over and over. The rains (an inch or so) along the US border (at least) are very timely as anyone who wanted to seed into moisture had to go deeper than was optimum to get plants to surface after germination.
In Southern SE Sask subsoil moisture isn't a very thick layer; and is usually non-existant under grass stands. Similar rains will be welcomed every weekend through July; and moisture is general; I predict there will be more dollars invested in the crops than the crops will be worth.

**SASKFARMER3** · May 25, 2008, 10:28

Well its total was 1/4 inch north of the Quappelle valley. Nice Cold rain. I still have some to seed on our own plus 1200 custom seeding. Priced out a new bourgault parrelel link with 550 cart 75ft full run monitor anhydrous coulters plus hitch dualls etc. Holy crap $393,000.00 Cash should be $294,000.00 but cash price on loaded 9630 is $256,000.00 funny need one to pull other.
Other funny thing is could buy the 5 custom quarters for less than $300000.00 I think the land will win out.
Nice shower anyway. Need a break

**checking** · May 25, 2008, 10:30

Watch the markets crash on Monday. "Beneficial rains" will be repeated over and over. The rains (an inch or so) along the US border (at least) are very timely as anyone who wanted to seed into moisture had to go deeper than was optimum to get plants to surface after germination.
In Southern SE Sask subsoil moisture isn't a very thick layer; and is usually non-existant under grass stands. Similar rains will be welcomed every weekend through July; and if the moisture is general; I predict there will be more dollars invested in the crops than the crops will be worth.

**cottonpicken** · May 25, 2008, 10:46

Your not very good at math are you checking.
Get your calculator out and start punching in todays prices with an average crop.
If your eyes dont light up,you simply screwed up your decimal point.
Simply move it to the right a couple of spaces.

Yes,mother nature can take it away from us,but i'll take her odds.

As far as the markets-they cant take it away.
There are a million reasons why so im not going to start.
The paradigm has changed.
A new mind set is needed.

Hope everyone else catches a rain.

**checking** · May 25, 2008, 12:35

Because we don't know enough about other people's farm business; or their actual situations; we all come jump to conclusions that are far from the actual cases.
For instance; a person may have pencilled in a firm contracted price that generates a healthy profit. If you miss this rain and the next one; and the drought continues (for the large area of Southern prairies and places such as the Dakotas; then it would be wise to have also pencilled in a risk factor of having to buy back production that could potentially be worth more than what now seems like a very good price to forward contract production.

I'm willing to wait to be proven wrong that the new paradime won't teach us all some new lessons in how to try to break even over the long run.

**just_wondering** · May 25, 2008, 22:40

3/10ths on my farm nice to see though more would help, cold tonight though what would a late season frost do?
We are planning on enecting the act of god clause on our contracted mustard acres and seeding red lentils to dry to get much more than gemination on the mustard.

**Hopperbin** · May 26, 2008, 03:10

Only 1 tenth here so far but our black soils are holding good moisture below.
Just let the dog pee outside and the thermomitor reads minus 1.

Drought situation - Sask