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Bipolar Markets.

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  • farmaholic
    Senior Member
    • Sep 2010
    • 17467

    Bipolar Markets.

    Give them some meds.
    Over reactions
    Volatility equals opportunity?\
    I only sell physical...not a paper trader.
  • Partners
    Senior Member
    • May 2010
    • 3105

    #2
    You are right..Soon as something in the world Twitches...Grain price have to go down first..

    Comment

    • furrowtickler
      Senior Member
      • Dec 2004
      • 21846

      #3
      Agreed - sad to see how any event like that drops grains and oilseeds 👎

      Comment

      • Oliver88
        Senior Member
        • Dec 2012
        • 4688

        #4
        I don't think Brexit was a canola factor, it was on a 2 week slide and lost close to $1/bushel as of yesterday.

        IMO, this was just a bunch of overblown media hysteria due to their preference of the UK being in the EU.

        Today, Canola up $10, Soybeans up 30 cents, Wheat down.

        Comment

        • hobbyfrmr
          Senior Member
          • Feb 2008
          • 3177

          #5
          I agree wth partners.

          Comment

          • errolanderson
            Senior Member
            • Jan 2012
            • 3123

            #6
            Spring soybean/soymeal rally was driven by fund money flow. This was the key spark for $12 canola bids. Fundamentals did not justify these gains.

            Sell-off triggered well before Brexit .. . .

            Comment

            • farmaholic
              Senior Member
              • Sep 2010
              • 17467

              #7
              Wouldn't it be fair to say canola markets are over sold? RSI is below 30. BUT I'm sure there are a myriad of other technical indicators that can justify where it is, only problem is I know SFA about them!!!

              I'm all ears, no really, I have big ears!!!
              Last edited by farmaholic; Jun 27, 2016, 21:54.

              Comment

              • HappyFarmer
                Senior Member
                • Jun 2012
                • 433

                #8
                I disagree Erol...

                I mean think about it....16.75 million mt of canola we have used already.

                There is 5 weeks to go and we should easily pound another million tonnes through the system.

                Think of it this way. We have already used 18.5 million acres at 40 bushels/acre already....and.5 weeks to go.

                And how cheap does canola look compared to soybeans today...

                OK, I get it, maybe the funds needed to take a breather but based on the about way wouldn't they long 42000 contract.

                Lots of weather in front of us yet.

                Comment

                • Braveheart
                  Senior Member
                  • Feb 2001
                  • 3257

                  #9
                  I agree Happy. Plus if we get another higher close in beans those computers will fire off a buy signal and away we go again. This market will be volatile until its close to the bin.

                  Comment

                  • iceman
                    Senior Member
                    • Dec 2014
                    • 751

                    #10
                    Hate to be a bull here but

                    The trade expects 20 million shh seeded acres for the stats can seeded acreage number on June 29. Is this even possible? pulses stole the bulk of the canola acres out west and south and with mustard contracts the way they were in the spring they also picked up acres. Some other area would need to make up for those lost acres. Who knows maybe we are in for a wild day

                    Also the lentil number maybe interesting

                    Iceman Out

                    Comment

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