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SPE Anyone Taking it?

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  • dfarms11
    Senior Member
    • Oct 2000
    • 537

    SPE Anyone Taking it?

    Well, we have one last day to decide. Who's taking it and on what? It's kinda looking like any crop could work out if we get any normality in world production.
  • HFL
    Senior Member
    • Dec 2006
    • 371

    #2
    We are not. We feel like we are better off to price
    some new crop production if we feel lower prices
    are ahead. It will be interesting to see what others
    have to say.

    Comment

    • jethro456
      Member
      • Apr 2010
      • 93

      #3
      Feel the same way as HFL. I can lock in new crop at
      values well above the spe. The markets have to
      move a long way to be profitable

      Comment

      • pgluca
        Senior Member
        • Oct 2000
        • 185

        #4
        Almost anything can happen but with all the weather disruptions in the world at this moment I don't see a very high probability of benefiting from the "Spring price endorsement". Having said that if you can convince ME to insure your favorite crop it's price would probably go through the roof.

        Comment

        • jethro456
          Member
          • Apr 2010
          • 93

          #5
          Feel the same way as HFL. I can lock in new crop at
          values well above the spe. The markets have to
          move a long way to be profitable

          Comment

          • Ronski
            Senior Member
            • Jan 2012
            • 339

            #6
            I took the SPE. I've sold more canola
            for 8 than I have for 10 so its a good
            worst case floor price. I presold some
            of expected production but SPE sets a
            floor price while leaving the upside
            open.

            Comment

            • charliep
              Senior Member
              • Oct 2000
              • 9002

              #7
              My decision would be based on my marketing plan. Enough price risk ahead (with outcomes either good or bad) that I think farmers need to be doing something in terms of pricing new crop. Nothing wrong with forward pricing a portion of new crop. If you are not prepared to forward price (you can list the reasons as a manager), then SPE is one way of drawing a line in the sand in terms of establishing a minimum price. It is insurance with a premium with the obvious caveat that paying the premium/not collecting isn't a bad thing. Similar comment to buying insurance on your vehicles and not collecting - you didn't have an accident which is good thing.

              I would also look at crops that don't have futures/options, active forward prices or don't want to lock yourself into a grain company. Again, insurance so simply a payout if prices decline by more than 10 % from current coverage levels.

              Not encouraging or discouraging. Know your market strategy for this years (realising the first step is to get seeded and warm up your pencil/calculator to put financial cost/benefit to this decision.

              Comment

              • charliep
                Senior Member
                • Oct 2000
                • 9002

                #8
                Deadline is today. Will be interested in what participation levels will be this year.

                Comment

                • errolanderson
                  Senior Member
                  • Jan 2012
                  • 3124

                  #9
                  Straight canola put options offer the
                  grower a higher floor price plus you
                  have control of the premium and there is
                  no deadline. And there is no margin
                  calls, no production or delivery
                  obligation.

                  Example: November canola $550 put
                  options may trade for $20/MT. This will
                  give you a $530/MT ($12.02/bu) assuming
                  a $0 basis.

                  Comment

                  • charliep
                    Senior Member
                    • Oct 2000
                    • 9002

                    #10
                    Canola and wheat offer option/put alternatives. A bit of a stretch but CBT corn puts could be used for barley. Pulses and other crops have no market based way to establish a minimum price. SPE can do this. You also need to look at price. Barley is a crop that many are considering. Put into your own situation.

                    Again SPE is just one product. Use the one best for your business. Those that have the financial resources to handle lower prices can also choose to do nothing. Not my recommendation but the the alternative is there.

                    Comment

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