Prairie production and acres chart

[farming101]

One thing that jumps out is the production for 2002. I never realized how low it was prairie wide.
Of course another thing that jumps out is the 2013 production. Average went over one tonne per acre for the whole crop basket. Amazing.
All time record summerfallow acres in 1970 under the LIFT program. 36,900,000 acres.
<a href="http://photobucket.com/" target="_blank"><img src="http://i1211.photobucket.com/albums/cc421/farming101/Production%20Acres%20and%20Summerfallow_zps9zxdkuk d.jpg" border="0" alt=" photo Production Acres and Summerfallow_zps9zxdkukd.jpg"/></a>

[bucket]

Thank you.

Now can you draw a line that would represent a trend line yield and see where we need to be for transportation logistics for 10 years out?

It will be a steady line up so why is this not reflecting in today's capacity.

Happy shareholders but a big lost opportunity.

[farmaholic]

Thank you farming101. About doubled production in 44 years. Looks like Producers have done their part in economic growth...

[farming101]

The production totals shows that weather and growing conditions have the final say.

Still a trend is clear.
A big guess would be 53 million to 63 million tonnes for 2015 increasing to 57 to 67 ten years out.
Any outlier years are liable to be higher rather than lower. Look at the result from 2014, even with excess moisture and flooded acres. The ability to produce even with mediocre weather has arrived.

[Braveheart]

I know this is destined to be linked to transportation woes, but, I'm encouraged that prices have stayed at the level they're at given the rise in production and the big spike. It shows that demand is keeping pace fairly well.

[farmaholic]

Farmaholic wetblanket says production costs are eating up lots...

But thank you for pointing that out Braveheart, true.

[hobbyfrmr]

Farming101

Thank you for all the graphs. They are great and i really appreciate the information.

[Hopperbin]

The summerfallow trends are pretty straight if taking in all the years. 6 years would put it pretty much at 0. 6 more years would put it at minus 6 percent give or take a few percentage points if trend holds. We need to start double cropping. Unsustainable. Very interesting to look at.

[freewheat]

Those graphs tell the story of what I was saying in the mallee thread.

Thanks for posting them. I think it explains our movement problem far better than any other explanation.

I wish they had a fert/fung. per acre chart too.

[grassfarmer]

I'll throw in a random suggestion here rather than start another thread. Seeing the difference the reduction of summer fallow acres has had are none of you tempted to seed an annual legume "plow down" crop on a percentage of your acres?

Short the grain market acres and ease the delivery/transport headaches as well as reducing reliance on expensive fertilizer.

Instead of summer fallow grow a crop that fixes you 150-200lbs of N, improves the soil structure, uses up some of the surplus moisture, adds another crop to a rotation and boosts helpful soil microbes and beneficial insects and would boost the succeeding crop by more than just the effect of the nitrogen.

In my forage situation I don't consider sowing a grain crop for silage now without adding in a legume component.

[grgsrvc]

Easy there grassy. You talking Eskimo now...

[Hopperbin]

Farming 101 can you bring up the american production and how they are dealing with production? Crop is better after a legume no doubt. 200 lbs means someone smoking something.

[farming101]

Hopperbin, here's a few numbers.
Principal field crops included.
Left out peanuts, beets, hay and stuff like that.
<a href="http://photobucket.com/" target="_blank"><img src="http://i1211.photobucket.com/albums/cc421/farming101/US%20crops%202013%202014_zpseimoymm5.jpg" border="0" alt=" photo US crops 2013 2014_zpseimoymm5.jpg"/></a>

[cottonpicken]

Thanks for those charts. We need more stuff like this on here when debating things.
So one third of production increase has come from summerfallow acres maybe most of the rest from fert/spray and we want to give up seed rights to gain what?

[TOM4CWB]

CP,

Not giving away seed rights... gaining quality control and purity.

PLUS new novel seeds can be developed and released here... without fear of contamination and poor genetic quality.

Grain Growers can use pre 2015 seed supplies... as they did before... as those seeds registered before UPOV91 came into force in Feb 2015... use the old rules NOT UPOV91.

We never get something for nothing.