Stat Canada Numbers

[charliep]

First Statistics Canada production numbers are out today. At first glance, numbers are below industry expectations. Will let others provide their opinion on how realistic they are.

[URL="http://www.statcan.gc.ca/daily-quotidien/140821/t140821b001-eng.htm"]2014 Canadian Production[/URL]

[SASKFARMER3]

July estimates of production of principal field crops







2012 (final)

2013 (final)

July 20141 (preliminary)

2012 to 2013

2013 to July 2014





tonnes

% change


Total wheat2
27 205 200 37 529 600 27 704 700 38.0 -26.2

Spring wheat
18 845 400 27 238 700 19 972 300 44.5 -26.7

Durum wheat
4 626 600 6 504 500 4 953 200 40.6 -23.8

Winter wheat
3 733 200 3 786 400 2 779 200 1.4 -26.6

Canola
13 868 500 17 960 100 13 908 000 29.5 -22.6

Corn for grain
13 060 100 14 193 800 11 430 500 8.7 -19.5

Barley
8 012 300 10 237 100 7 163 600 27.8 -30.0

Soybeans
5 086 400 5 198 400 5 900 700 2.2 13.5

Dry field peas
3 340 800 3 849 300 3 558 000 15.2 -7.6

Oats
2 811 900 3 888 000 2 639 400 38.3 -32.1

Lentils
1 537 900 1 880 500 1 929 900 22.3 2.6

Flaxseed
488 900 712 300 908 100 45.7 27.5

Total dry beans
274 400 205 900 300 200 -25.0 45.8

Mustard seed
118 600 154 500 222 300 30.3 43.9

Canary seed
149 700 131 000 145 700 -12.5 11.2

Chick peas
161 400 169 400 142 500 5.0 -15.9

Sunflower seed
86 900 51 900 78 200 -40.3 50.7

For those of you who didn't get out and check your fields this year or didn't get out and drive out of your area or didn't believe that a foot of rain can do damage the above explains what I was saying all along.
Water in excess at wrong time of year can F$%K up a great plan.
Looks about right. Those that are lucky to have a crop are probably about 15% less yield than last year. July had some dry periods to take yield.
Those in flooded areas are 50 to 35% below last years yield. So if you draw a line from PA to Border south and every thing west is in better category and every thing east is in the flooded. The average is 26% below last years crop.
Happy harvest. Also to the guy who posted on Face book that his barley was running 100 east of Yorkton. The monitor picture and the shitty swath tell a different story.
Yes 100 it was running by combine monitor but at 32 to 35% moisture its a 60 bushel crop. God I hate those things.
Scale is the only thing and dockage out is what it yielded.

[ajl]

Looks like this year they are going to underestimate the crop a bit but last year they overestimated somewhat so over two years it is probably accurate.

[SASKFARMER3]

Phoning snd texting guys today it's no last year for sure! Lentils snd peas will be non existent in east sask next year! Cznola you can't make a crop out of shit! Hrs now has issues don't matter if you sprayed of not! Enjoy the rain, theirs 2015.

[bucket]

By changing the header width I can make my crops yield anything according to the monitor. Sadly too many rely on the monitor instead of whether the bin is filling up.