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Quarterly Stocks Report

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  • errolanderson
    Senior Member
    • Jan 2012
    • 3146

    Quarterly Stocks Report

    Supportive to corn
    Not supportive to soybeans
    Neutral? to wheat

    Guys . . . canola still remains in big
    trouble technically. Soybean longs are
    spooked big-time and there are way too
    many bulls running for the exit door.

    Nov beans have a chart gap way down at
    $14.80/bu. If that happens . . . say
    hello to $550/MT canola.

    Errol
  • boarderbloke
    Senior Member
    • Sep 2007
    • 1991

    #2
    Like the turn around in MGE and KCBT wheat, all months! Hope she holds and moves up from there.

    Comment

    • crusher
      Senior Member
      • Jun 2001
      • 1189

      #3
      The ace in the hole is exports. Who's going to supply the world market in January and February? I wouldn't be surprised if we hit a low next week when China is on holidays, but anticipate a return up after.

      Nice pop in wheat this am, good thing I made some sales yesterday. Though still got my lifetime highs for feed wheat.

      Comment

      • boarderbloke
        Senior Member
        • Sep 2007
        • 1991

        #4
        Seems USDA has lowered their Durum and Hard Red Winter Wheat est. since the Aug report.
        "Other Spring" likely refers to HRS which they have increased.

        [URL="http://futures.tradingcharts.com/news/futures/DJ_USDA_Report__Summary_For_Grain_Stocks__Small_Gr ains___186351735.html"]Wheat Stocks[/URL]

        Comment

        • boarderbloke
          Senior Member
          • Sep 2007
          • 1991

          #5
          sorry, I typed "Wheat Stocks", where I should have typed "Wheat Production"! They are the production numbers.

          Comment

          • boarderbloke
            Senior Member
            • Sep 2007
            • 1991

            #6
            Soyabean production numbers even higher, than the higher-end range pre-report trade estimates!

            Comment

            • fjlip
              Senior Member
              • Oct 2002
              • 9879

              #7
              That's Soybean stocks on Sept 1st, not 2012 production, right?

              Comment

              • errolanderson
                Senior Member
                • Jan 2012
                • 3146

                #8
                Massive fund buying this morning that
                locked corn 'limit up' and rallied all
                other grains despite an unexciting bean
                stock number. Nov canola was trading
                above $600/MT until the last two minutes
                of trade, then sold off . . . .

                Personally thought the corn reaction was
                overdone, but the market is always
                right.

                Monday will be interesting as funds will
                have the weekend to digest.

                Hope all of a great harvest weekend . .
                . .

                Comment

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