Canola this A.M.

[furrowtickler]

Up big after a slight stumble. Could be interesting day.

[SASKFARMER3]

Y E A !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
THANK YOU USDA!!!
THANK "YOU "BRAZIL
THANK YOU CHINA
To all the guys who said SELL SELL SELL.
Have a great day!

[wd9]

So i will try to ask again, how would
effective marketing have protected me from
selling for less 2 months ago?

[bucket]

Errol should be able to answer all your questions.

But he might have a some margin calls to be telling his clients about, this morning.

[FarmRanger]

No margin calls on a Put. I hope mine expire
worthless.
I might just "waste" some more money on them if
this rally continues.

[charliep]

Nobody gets to brag until they pull the trigger and sell. The belief here is that a farmer should be able to sell every kernel of their crop at the top of the market. Crushing plants only need to buy once at year (high price naturally). Cattle feeders only buy once a year.

The market is a dynamic place that puts buyers and sellers together. It reacts to information. I don't think there was anything surprising in the report. Still an intentions report and farmers will shift acres to reflect the new reality (early seeding will have some impact). I would watch the close carefully today. Buy the rumor/sell the fact? The market have not locked limit and have been trading all morning (or at least in the first half hour). The market will be the ultimate judge with only 3 1/2 hours to be judged.

[charliep]

My eyes would be on new crop by the way. Cottonpicken quite accurately highlighted the trend is your friend (he had a different expression but the same meaning). Definitely the ever ready bunny. I suspect this market will not go up for ever and at some point will break. The question is when. I would running a trailing stop.

[URL="http://www.farms.com/markets/?page=chart&sym=RSX12"]November[/URL]

[wd9]

Point is Charlie, if we were 'Good'
marketers, it would all be sold already.

[fjlip]

Most are "good " marketers because very little is unpriced.
The poor or greedy marketer not selling at a profit, being a "pig", did not get slaughtered, is laughing all the way to the bank.
Impossible to learn from this mistake.
We all made a profit though, so hope for a good crop to play the game again.

[charliep]

wd9

I'm not sure what a definition of good marketer is. Everyone here faces different financial realities.

My definition of a good marketer isn't one truck load or one year. It is a farmer that is consistently profitable over 5 to 10 years, pays bills on time and grows their businesses equity while providing a good life style for their family and when they do their evaluation of the marketing compontent of their business (weighted average price versus some benchmark), they have consistently priced above the average level.

As Errol said, marketing is as much an art as a science. It is also driven by the financial realities of their business. Someone with 95 % plus equity (likely well over $2 million) can pretty much do anything they want.

For anybody that tells me they knew this was going to happen, why weren't you long futures as a replacement strategy this past 3 months. Bragging is putting money in the banck - not yelling at everyone in Agriville.