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    sober second thought

    CWB bill will require sober thought







    By Ken Rosaasen, The StarPhoenix December 2, 2011




















    The following is the opinion of the writer, a professor in the University of Saskatchewan college of agriculture and an active farmer.

    Bill C-18 passed third reading in the House of Commons on Monday.

    The bill that ends the CWB single desk now proceeds to the Senate. There are many long-term impacts that will arise from this bill's implementation and there will be gainers and losers - but perhaps not the gainers and losers suggested by the federal government.

    Removing the single desk takes income away from farmers. Studies conducted by reputable economists estimate the annual loss of revenue to the farm sector between $400 million to $600 million per year. This loss will accrue largely to consumers in other nations who will benefit from lower prices. There are also greater opportunities for increases in the margins of domestic railways and grain handling companies because of their market power versus farmers.

    The Canadian federal government strongly supported the maintenance of a single desk for potash, Canpotex, as did the government of Saskatchewan. Conceptually, the economics are similar. Saskatchewan potash received the deserved federal recognition as a strategic resource. Are not food production resources as important to Canada?

    When legislation is changed, compensation is sometimes negotiated and paid to those who are losers. The termination of the Western Grain Transportation Act paid out compensation to Prairie landholders because of the loss of the rail freight payments. The tobacco buyout by the Canadian government recently paid compensation to tobacco farmers for their quota termination. Sometimes compensation is part of the process. In other cases it has to be sought through the courts.

    The CWB has no facilities, such as elevators or terminals at ports. Without the ability to physically control the product, blending revenues will accrue to the handling companies whose facilities it will have to use. Clearly, one should not be surprised that the grain trade is clamouring to achieve these additional marketing margins from people who might deliver to this new grain marketing agency of the government.

    The survival of this new government marketing agency is highly unlikely.

    The Australian Wheat Board had a much longer transition period. It also had assets and was given substantial legislative support in terms of delivery and access to rail and port facilities. Yet, it no longer exists. The remains of the AWB have been sold to Cargill.

    The CWB has been a defender of wheat, durum and barley farmers in countervail actions launched by the U.S.

    Who will do that now? The U.S., EU and others have sought the elimination of the wheat board. The U.S. tries to beat it up as a state trader, implicitly recognizing its value to Canadian farmers. When I asked a Canadian government negotiator what Canada will receive for giving up the CWB single desk, the answer suggested it's very hard to negotiate for anything when the Canadian government is giving it away.

    I have followed the legislative debates about the Crow Rate, feed grains policy, GRIP and many others. Nothing has been rushed through like Bill C-18. Andrew Coyne in the Dec. 5 issue of Maclean's states that "Parliament is dying."


    On the farm where I grew up, my father and uncle gave me some advice: "Measure twice, cut once." A more precise long-term plan than outlined in Bill C-18 is needed to foster a smoother transition of the Prairie grain marketing and transportation system with reduced uncertainty and long-term costs. On our farm, we have locked up some canola sales into September 2012, but cannot do the same for wheat due to the dismantling of the CWB and the lack of a functioning futures market for wheat in Canada.

    If the government is determined to proceed, it should begin with a continental barley market in August 2012, with wheat and durum delayed for at least one year because of all the uncertainty and the potential for undue transition costs.

    One hopes that the Senate will prove to be the chamber of sober second thought. I have found some of the Senators and staff with whom I have met to be very concerned with both the provisions and the process used to pass Bill C-18. They are open to a discussion of the economic outcomes of the changes as proposed. Amendments are needed, and I believe some will be made.

    As Canadians, we need an informed decision, not an inflamed decision


    Read more: http://www.thestarphoenix.com/news/bill will require sober thought/5799799/story.html#ixzz1fVYuynm1

    #2
    Prof. Ken Rosaasen KNOWS way better than this!

    "Removing the single desk takes income away from farmers. Studies conducted by reputable economists estimate the annual loss of revenue to the farm sector between $400 million to $600 million per year. This loss will accrue largely to consumers in other nations who will benefit from lower prices. There are also greater opportunities for increases in the margins of domestic railways and grain handling companies because of their market power versus farmers."

    THis is the LASt Prof. I would send my family to learn from. Way to go UofS... this is economics?

    Canola is my proof... and Prof. Ken is flat out WRONG. What a shame that the left can dominate the halls of learning with such nonsense.


    "Opinion, Western Producer:

    Young farmers support marketing freedom
    By Kevin Hursh
    October 6, 2011


    There’s no longer a shortage of young people who plan to farm. The view that farmers are all getting older and there’s no one to take over is outdated and unfortunate.

    Recently I gave a guest lecture to agricultural economist Ken Rosaasen’s agriculture policy class at the University of Saskatchewan. I’ve been doing this annually for many years and I’m just one of many guests that Rosaasen brings before his students.

    This was a particularly engaged class with good questions. I remember sleeping through a guest lecturer or two when I was in the agriculture college, but there was no evidence of that with this bunch.

    “How many of you have farm backgrounds and have family back on the farm?” I asked. The vast majority raised their hands.

    Many urban students are recognizing agriculture as a great career choice, but the young people in this class were almost all off the farm.

    Most were ag business majors, with a few majoring in animal science and a few others in agronomy. It was a mixture of second, third and fourth year students.

    Later on in the presentation, I was asked about “the aging farm population” and whether enough young people were returning to the farm.

    It’s my impression, and I told them so, that many young people are interested in farming and recent years have seen an influx of young people drawn by the industry’s newfound profitability.

    Turning the tables, I asked the class about their intentions.

    “How many of you intend to return to the family farm after you get your agriculture degree?”

    Even I was surprised. Half or more of the hands went up.

    There have always been some students attending the college with farming as their plan, but the vast majority of graduates have pursued careers in agribusiness, government or research.

    University officials say there has been a big change in intentions over the last few years. Many more students are now focused on getting back to the farm. For some, this may not happen until they’ve had a job for awhile, but it’s still their overall goal.

    Favourable economics are no doubt responsible for much of this change in mindset. There’s money to be made in grain and cattle.

    Of course, this is a double-edged sword. Improved profitability means higher land prices and higher prices for breeding stock. It’s more expensive than ever to buy a farm or expand a farm operation to make room for the next generation.

    Since this was an ag policy class, there was lots of discussion about the Canadian Wheat Board. I couldn’t resist asking these young people, many of them farmers-to-be, about their views. One student said it was hard to know what to think because Grandpa had one opinion, his dad another and neighbours were all over the map.

    However, when asked for a show of hands on whether the federal government was doing the right thing by moving to end the CWB single desk, there was near unanimous agreement among the students that the approach is correct.

    Again, I was surprised. I hadn’t expected their view to be so one-sided. This certainly wasn’t a scientific survey, just a sampling of the opinions of one class of ag college students. But it’s consistent with survey results showing more support for marketing freedom in younger demographics.

    Oh, to be that young again, with the future of agriculture looking so bright."

    http://www.producer.com/Opinion/Article.aspx?aid=40504

    Comment


      #3
      I graduated with a BSA in 1984 and Mr. Ken was trying to brainwash minds back then rather than be a true academic which would paint both sides of the fence and let the students decide on the color.

      Comment


        #4
        Glad that my daughter is enrolled in the Edwards School of Business rather than the College of Ag. Makes my blood boil when I hear these socilalist economists spout off their left wing propaganda. It's now wonder that most of Europe is approaching financial disaster.

        Comment


          #5
          I used to get invited in to speak to third year AG
          and AgEcon students. The U of S had two main
          funders for agriculture. Sask Govt and CWB

          That kind of funding cranked out text book
          Socialism. You must have a strong mind choice
          Pars.

          Comment


            #6
            I have never met Rosaasen. I did go to U of S with Murray Fulton. Murray had grown up with a father who was a university proffesor and that was Murray's dream. As with most University types he always lobbied for more government involvement in peoples lives and always saw University types as "smarter than the average citizen". Rosaasen is entitled to his views but has no more knowledge than anyone else. This is what he was saying in 2006.
            "In real dollar terms, Ken Rosaasen says that amounts to only $2-thousand dollars in earnings on average, for Saskatchewan producers this year.

            The agricultural economist from the University of Saskatchewan says the projections send a discouraging message to producers in Saskatchewan. Rosaasen speculated on the sentiment that some farmers are now expressing.

            "You're not getting paid for any of your work -- You better quit what you're doing," said Rosaasen. "Maybe put it down to grass and let recreational people come over and walk around and take pictures of things."

            According to the forecast, Saskatchewan farmers will make 63 per cent less than the five-year average this year. Farmers in the rest of the country will make 25 per cent than average."
            If we had listened to Rosaasen we would have been trying to survive on cattle through the BSE years.
            Whats that about teaching vs. doing.

            Comment


              #7
              The U of S has its' winners alright. What about that Hartley Furtan. Was he a prof there. For someone highly educated I found him to be very ignorant.

              Comment


                #8
                Take it or leave it true story,

                I had a lady named miss/mrs rose(i think) teaching
                me econ 101 in the mid nineties at the voc ag
                thing.

                I usually missed about 90% of classes,i found
                chasing women and drinking a much more
                satisfying/forefilling/smart thing to do, which to
                this day i don't regret.

                Anyway one day i did show up and she noticed,she
                decided to kill me with an never ending stream of
                questions,to which i had no reply.

                Normally i would have been faced flushed full of
                embarrassment,but luckily i still had some medicine
                in my belly from the night before.

                I was able to speed read through the chapter and
                answer every question with my hand up there after
                during the last half of the class,and nobody wanted
                to answer either,they just wanted to enjoy the show.

                No moral of the story,just thought the story fit.

                Comment


                  #9
                  Stubbly......Nice try.....But a swing and a miss!!!!!!The subject is moot!!!
                  The organization will be what YOU make it, NOT what WE were forced to make!!!

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Cotton, Professor Rose Olfert?. I did some time in the Sacred Halls of the new AG building and she was an Ag Econ prof around the time you describe!

                    Comment

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