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Investors Warned! On Commodities

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  • SASKFARMER3
    Senior Member
    • Feb 2006
    • 14485

    Investors Warned! On Commodities

    Investors Warned On Commodities
    Societe Generale warned investors against betting on commodities in 2012 even as data showed speculators' sentiment already faded, with their positioning on many crops among the most bearish in recent history, says a story from agrimoney.com.
    SocGen asset allocation specialists recommended investors take an underweight position on commodities, including agricultural ones, heading into 2012, warning of the threat to demand posted by economic slowdowns.
    "With the probability of a hard landing in China estimated at 20% [by SocGen], one can only remain cautious on commodities," the bank said, countering a more bullish view of raw materials last week from rival UBS.
    "All commodities should naturally be under pressure from the Chinese and European slowdowns
  • liberty
    Senior Member
    • Dec 2002
    • 345

    #2
    On the other hand, commodities will benefit from all the "pump-priming" being done by monetary authorities all over the world. I'll place my bets on the side of inflation as opposed to deflation.

    Comment

    • cottonpicken
      Senior Member
      • Apr 2006
      • 6993

      #3
      Coming from an insolvent french bank that went broke
      owning paper,what a bunch of clowns.

      Comment

      • liberty
        Senior Member
        • Dec 2002
        • 345

        #4
        Also remember that the best time to jump into the market is when everyone is bearish.

        Comment

        • Hopperbin
          Senior Member
          • Dec 2007
          • 6562

          #5
          I fail to see how the relentless chinese growth can be bearish in any way.

          Comment

          • ajl
            Senior Member
            • May 2008
            • 3246

            #6
            Chinese growth has slowed quite a bit
            lately mainly on reduced exports to
            Europe. Other problems in China include
            how much is growth and how much is pure
            inflation as well as how much of their
            data is BS.

            Comment

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