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Anybody pricing 11-12 CWRS FPC &/or Basis

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  • boarderbloke
    Senior Member
    • Sep 2007
    • 1991

    Anybody pricing 11-12 CWRS FPC &/or Basis

    Just wondering if anybody else has been watching CWB 11-12 prices and basis? Is it too early to price? More potenial upside in prices? How does CWB Basis level look historically, could it get better without our dollar falling?
  • furrowtickler
    Senior Member
    • Dec 2004
    • 21879

    #2
    We were just discusing this, we just delivered #2 11.5 protien and a fpc net to us is $6.30 and the current p.r.o. is around $5.80. We are going to do the fpc. I have no faith in the pro's for 11.5 hrsw going anywhere but up or down more than a few cents - way too much low protien wheat around the world. And no I am not blaming the borg, it just a fact of life this year IMO.

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    • furrowtickler
      Senior Member
      • Dec 2004
      • 21879

      #3
      Although if our wheat was sold as per falling number I am sure it is easily a #1 - then we are out at least $3/bus for the same wheat in the U.S. ?
      BTW, who does falling number tests in sask?

      Comment

      • btjadenlepp
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2005
        • 290

        #4
        sounds like you two are talking about two
        different crop years. there is no basis
        posted for 2011 wheat yet.

        we're doing some fpc's on old-crop this
        week too. i think we're going to see a
        massive wave of pool opting-out here ahead
        of the jan 31 deadline. i just want to get
        out of the way of those demurrage bills.

        Comment

        • boarderbloke
          Senior Member
          • Sep 2007
          • 1991

          #5
          I think SGS will test it?

          but I was wondering more about "new crop" 11-12

          I know I keep saying I won't grow board grains, but wheat is looking attractive, and trying to get ahead of the curve on Basis, as I always seem too late to get in on a good level.

          Comment

          • boarderbloke
            Senior Member
            • Sep 2007
            • 1991

            #6
            btjadenlepp, when can you start pricing CWB Basis?

            Comment

            • cottonpicken
              Senior Member
              • Apr 2006
              • 6993

              #7
              Rolling the dice-100%wheat,durum sold on jan 31.

              Comment

              • tmyrfield
                Senior Member
                • Dec 2009
                • 332

                #8
                Did %100 mar basis for cwrs for feb delivery. agree that as end of jan arrives basis will become weaker, did not consider demurage charges so good catch btjl. now question is when to pull trigger on futures.

                Comment

                • btjadenlepp
                  Senior Member
                  • Aug 2005
                  • 290

                  #9
                  boarder, the cwb starts publishing new-
                  crop basis levels on the same day they
                  release the first 2011 crop pro. that
                  will be at their annual grainworld
                  outlook conference here at the end of
                  feb. you should really consider coming
                  to winnipeg and sitting in to hear their
                  wheat market update, as it will surely
                  contain lots of useful background and
                  insights on the basis and the cwb's
                  other ppo's.

                  for anyone who doesn't know me or has
                  never been to grainworld i better
                  clarify - that was a joke. i need a
                  'sarcasm' font or something.

                  Comment

                  • boarderbloke
                    Senior Member
                    • Sep 2007
                    • 1991

                    #10
                    ya, after reading the first bit I was wondering! couripe! (sp)

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