Western Sask/Alberta Canola Crop

[furrowtickler]

Ado,

I was you last year. I should bring up those threads from last year at this time when I mentioned "are things that bad". I got blasted for it. Quite similiar to you now!

Jesus, boys he's not down playing the disaster we have here. He's just SUGGESTING maybe the acres that are in good shape this year, could produce double of what they did last year. Thus maybe not having the complete train wreck we all suggest.

I actually agree with him the crops I 've seen around Wakaw, Cudworth all the way to Saskatoon are BEAUTIFUL!!

Now myself I'm F&*^ed this year.

Good thing I kept all those #2 oats in the bin, that everyone told me on here were feed last fall!

Ado, unlike the boys on here last year that told me to F&*8 myself for having a bumper, and they wern't, I won't do that. Good for you man if you got a great one this year!!

Lighten up boys!!

[SASKFARMER3]

KY jelly I might kill this crop 3 times according to you but you cant kill what wasn't seeded, and that's a fact plus what was drowned out don't come back. So count your lucky stars you got something but your not going to create over production.
Simple math if our yield average was 55 last year and yours was 40 we will come in at 25 at best can you average 70 to 75 on all your acres. If you can then I am wrong but I bet you cant.

[vvalk]

canola fields south of Calgary in general are just about to flower. Most are in the 1 to 10% flower stage. Some are more advanced but only a few. Most look really good but again will either need them to burn a bit or a lnog fall. I just drove from saskatoon. Swift Current to Rosetown was all lentils. Lentils everywhere especially to Kyle and more canola around rosetown with everything looking good right up to saskatoon. Late but way above avg. From rosetown to AB border was real nice as well but didnt think there was that much canola.

[ado089]

Last years average for us would have been about 24...the same as last year we are on the edge of where things go from bad to worse. The transition point this year where things go from ok to great. I know there will be less canola but question is how much. I wish I could say I have great crops but once again they are 40 miles down the road but there are some damn good crops every direction but east.

[vvalk]

SF3. More acres were going in this year then last. That avg outs at least 1 million of your flooded acres right there. Take norhtern AB with black soil pushing 10 % organic matter, their crops will be 1/2 again to double last year. Take western SK and a good chunk of southern AB having bumper potential. Lastly canola always surprises on yield and this canola crop will NOT be as bad as people think. IMO.

[SASKFARMER3]

Again I ask do you have a 75 Bushel crop if you do then yes I believe the crop will be same or better than last year but no fricking way will the crop be that high.

[SASKFARMER3]

Also Vwalk their is way more than a million flooded man get your head out of the sand.

[ado089]

No but 55-65 isn't out of the question for a lot of it. Average that with what you will still get. Now I ask again what is the missing production compared to last year.

[kryger]

SF3, I don't think anybody mentioned over production. I just don't think it is as bad as you think it is in Western Canada as a whole.

[SASKFARMER3]

Go Moosejaw to Regina to Brandon to Dauphin to Yorkton up to Canora over to melfort Pa down to humboldt back to moosejaw and then tell me its just a small area with damage. When crop is seeded like Alberta before the rain last year it has a chance but if the crop didn't get in ground then guess what it wont produce any thing. Its a huge age and I am surprised how many of you just cant get your heads around that. Phone Viagra ask how much canola seed is returned. Phone Bayer and Monsanto and ask how many fields of drowned out crop they have to adjust. Then take a drive and oh by the way the yellow fields are probably not canola lots are last years crop that's volunteer growing after the burn off.