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Market mauling

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    Market mauling

    Anybody recall a year with such market bearishness at this time? Almost every year at least a small acre buying rally at seeding time has been the norm even in the 1980's. If this keeps up there will be carry over after an average crop following a drought reduced crop. Granted wheat was above average last fall but none of the other crops were much better than average.

    #2
    Viterra "experts" we estimating approx double the carry over in wht and canola.
    Crop larger than farmers stated.
    Farmers reluctant to sell at prices since January.
    That's their take.

    Comment


      #3
      Every message from Viterra is doom and gloom. Sell now because there is nowhere for price to go but down.

      Comment


        #4
        Originally posted by redleaf View Post
        Every message from Viterra is doom and gloom. Sell now because there is nowhere for price to go but down.
        Same reason I don't ask my barber if I need a haircut

        Comment


          #5
          Originally posted by redleaf View Post
          Every message from Viterra is doom and gloom. Sell now because there is nowhere for price to go but down.
          Where has prices gone since nov/dec.?

          Comment


            #6
            Originally posted by redleaf View Post
            Every message from Viterra is doom and gloom. Sell now because there is nowhere for price to go but down.
            Asked the head buyer at a crusher why every day he said the price might go down.
            He replied "If we told you the price was going up no one would sell."



            Company guys are trained to be bearish.
            But there are some great guys out there.
            Your job to find a good one or a good advisor so you don't need them for advise.

            Comment


              #7
              They all want to buy your grain now but when they will take it and pay for it is a another story. April is going pretty fast and we are 10 degrees below normal temps.

              Comment


                #8
                Originally posted by redleaf View Post
                Every message from Viterra is doom and gloom. Sell now because there is nowhere for price to go but down.
                Richardsons are pretty much the same from what my neighbors are telling me .

                Comment


                  #9
                  The weather forecast is responsible for much of the drop in prices:

                  Most recent summer forecast by NOAA:



                  US pasture conditions:



                  El Niño is becoming stronger every day forecasters are commenting…. The concern it would be later summer for the increased rainfall is diminished…


                  Blessings

                  Comment


                    #10
                    After May 18th the markets will likely catch an updraft.

                    Comment


                      #11
                      Originally posted by flea beetle View Post
                      After May 18th the markets will likely catch an updraft.
                      What reason?

                      Comment


                        #12
                        Originally posted by Partners View Post
                        What reason?
                        Drought Monitor:






                        Blessings and wisdom!

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Rainfall over the next week:




                          Cheers

                          Comment


                            #14
                            Local canola crusher now has FREE STORAGE if you care to keep their business going and help supply them with what they need.

                            AND their booking schedule is fairly wide open to bring it when you want. If this doesn’t say hey we’re soon going to have to pay more for canola- what else would it mean

                            Comment


                              #15
                              Originally posted by Partners View Post
                              What reason?
                              Russia will formally cancel the Black Sea grain deal, and block all grain ships from exiting that shipping corridor.

                              They have postured only to extend the deal in the past, but my belief is this time they are serious. And the USA isn’t going to cave to Russia’s demands in order to keep the corridor open.

                              Comment

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