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Sep 20, 2022 | 13:57 31
Quote Originally Posted by errolanderson View Post
Inflation is transitory . . . .

Oil is clearly in-a-downtrend along with most commodity markets. Some analysts suggest next support around $77.50 per barrel. Major support seen at $65 per barrel on falling demand. Lumber tumbling, copper, gold fresh 2022 lows, aluminum slumping, loonie breaks 75 cents, Kiwi breaks 60 cents.

Watch unemployment jump as warehouses and shops closed. Real estate under heavy pressure. Wages are sticky, but employers will lay-off and rehire at lower rates. Where's the shorts? . . . just look at the market.

Tomorrow may be a total game-changer if the Fed doesn't change their course.
Errol,
The central Banks don’t care… for just as in the pandemic… citizens were like sheep accepting lock downs and loss of personal freedoms with no major repercussions to the political establishment.

Now the cue up is to declare a climate change ‘existential threat’… the governor of California yesterday eluded to the societal control being contemplated… EV and renewable energy, fresh water shortages, food security being threatened by drought… forest fires … unrestricted immigration… mass civil disobedience by homeless and radical left who have hoodwinked the legal establishment to protect and strengthen their political power base…

All to prepare we citizens… for the financial revolution and control of what and how we live our lives in North America and the western world.

Obviously China and Russia have implemented these objectives…

Welcome to the new freedom… to do what we are told to do.

Cheers, grin and Bear it… our destiny is clearly in view… as was proficiently predicted 2000years ago… and in plain view for all of humanity to see what is the future.

The great deception for those who refuse to open their minds to a very interesting future!!!

Blessings and Salutations

P.S. the Great Pride of the establishment… in blindly forging ahead…
Comes before great pain and destructive policies for the common citizens…
Last edited by TOM4CWB; Sep 20, 2022 at 14:06.
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  • Sep 20, 2022 | 18:52 32 David Rosenberg is right-on-the-money. Inflation is no longer the threat, destroying the economy is the threat.

    Apparently, Ford stock plunged more than 10 percent this week on a profit warning. Auto maker bankruptcies are now being rumoured. And this fallout has only just begun as this artificial financial bubble was backstopped by central banks with little fundamental justification.

    And how many years will it take for the stock market to recover these losses. Some economists suggest it could take a decade of flat stock market returns after the bottom has been found. Housing is a sitting duck. In other words, this will be a very long and deep recession. Tomorrow will be interesting . . . . Reply With Quote
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  • Sep 20, 2022 | 19:05 33 What’s happening tomorrow ? Reply With Quote
    Sep 20, 2022 | 20:42 34 Fed interest rate hike Reply With Quote
    biglentil's Avatar Sep 20, 2022 | 20:47 35
    Quote Originally Posted by errolanderson View Post
    Inflation is transitory . . . .

    Oil is clearly in-a-downtrend along with most commodity markets. Some analysts suggest next support around $77.50 per barrel. Major support seen at $65 per barrel on falling demand. Lumber tumbling, copper, gold fresh 2022 lows, aluminum slumping, loonie breaks 75 cents, Kiwi breaks 60 cents.

    Watch unemployment jump as warehouses and shops closed. Real estate under heavy pressure. Wages are sticky, but employers will lay-off and rehire at lower rates. Where's the shorts? . . . just look at the market.

    Tomorrow may be a total game-changer if the Fed doesn't change their course.
    And what do you think happens to the supply chain errol when the component manufacturers close up shop? We are already seeing that happen in Europe with electricity prices soaring to $1 a kwh. Reply With Quote
    Sep 20, 2022 | 23:49 36
    Quote Originally Posted by biglentil View Post
    And what do you think happens to the supply chain errol when the component manufacturers close up shop? We are already seeing that happen in Europe with electricity prices soaring to $1 a kwh.
    That's a good question, but a better one might be, What is going to happen when the grain and meat supply/grain delivery/food processing/food delivery/food storage/food retail chain gets broken? Reply With Quote
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  • biglentil's Avatar Sep 21, 2022 | 06:42 37
    Quote Originally Posted by beaverdam View Post
    That's a good question, but a better one might be, What is going to happen when the grain and meat supply/grain delivery/food processing/food delivery/food storage/food retail chain gets broken?
    Exactly its all interconnected, almost every hyperinflationary event is proceeded by a massive deflationary collapse. For example foreigners can buy land in Venezuela for pennys on the dollar compared to pre collapse. Was it wise to rush to cash for Venezuelans? Only if those dollars were foreign, savers in Venezuelan currency have seen their purchasing power eroded to nothing. A hamburger at the stand cost an entire months salary for a local and only those with support from those outside the country are doing ok. This time around it aint just Venezuela in trouble, its virtually every country in the world experiencing massive CPI and interest rate hikes. The USD may be the cleanest dirty shirt in the laundry basket for now.
    Last edited by biglentil; Sep 21, 2022 at 07:02.
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    Sep 21, 2022 | 10:16 38 Yield curves are now literally collapsing. German 30y-5y yield curve slope negative for the first time today since the Great Financial Crisis.

    This is a serious financial event confirming a deepening global recession that bankers and politicians don't want to talk about.

    As Central Banks aggressively tighten to fight inflation in the short-term, they are now inflicting a large long-lasting damage and heavy wounds to future economic growth . . . . Reply With Quote
    Sep 21, 2022 | 10:34 39 Welcome to the great reset Reply With Quote
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  • Sep 21, 2022 | 13:42 40 Fed hiked rates 75 points or 3/4 of a point as expected, but Fed indicates a further 1.25 percent increase straight ahead. Powell indicates rising jobless rate.

    No sugar-coating this . . . it’s a recession. Powell and company know it. The cost of past prosperity on the back of central bank money printing. Reply With Quote
    Sep 21, 2022 | 14:40 41
    Quote Originally Posted by errolanderson View Post
    Fed hiked rates 75 points or 3/4 of a point as expected, but Fed indicates a further 1.25 percent increase straight ahead. Powell indicates rising jobless rate.

    No sugar-coating this . . . it’s a recession. Powell and company know it. The cost of past prosperity on the back of central bank money printing.
    The 4$T Biden and the New Green Deal have injected has along with the pandemic… changed the coarse of civilization.

    Socialist idealism and work ethic have been melted into subservience for the vast majority under 40… otherwise the command and control of civilization during the pandemic would have resulted in a radical upheaval of western civilization.

    The WEF and China have done their trial on civilization… clearly the vast majority of humanity has chosen the warm soothing hypnotic allure of free government money and the promise of the easy road to nirvana…. Paid by the rich and foolish who believe if you don’t work you should not eat…

    A brave old world…

    Ten percent of humanity are responsible for the welfare of 90% who believe they have the right to democratically confiscate all prosperity and redistribute it ‘fairly’….

    Didn’t ever work before… history does repeat itself….
    There is nothing new under the sun… when it comes to the deprived deceived nature of humanity… when we become proud and give into selfishness and greed.

    Cheers Reply With Quote

  • Sep 21, 2022 | 15:49 42 Absolutely, you should see the list of demands these kids (under 40) have when you are interviewing them, it’s unbelievable. Reply With Quote
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  • Sep 21, 2022 | 18:09 43
    Quote Originally Posted by TOM4CWB View Post
    The 4$T Biden and the New Green Deal have injected has along with the pandemic… changed the coarse of civilization.

    Socialist idealism and work ethic have been melted into subservience for the vast majority under 40… otherwise the command and control of civilization during the pandemic would have resulted in a radical upheaval of western civilization.

    The WEF and China have done their trial on civilization… clearly the vast majority of humanity has chosen the warm soothing hypnotic allure of free government money and the promise of the easy road to nirvana…. Paid by the rich and foolish who believe if you don’t work you should not eat…

    A brave old world…

    Ten percent of humanity are responsible for the welfare of 90% who believe they have the right to democratically confiscate all prosperity and redistribute it ‘fairly’….

    Didn’t ever work before… history does repeat itself….
    There is nothing new under the sun… when it comes to the deprived deceived nature of humanity… when we become proud and give into selfishness and greed.

    Cheers
    Actually very well said Tom , and sadly very accurate Reply With Quote
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  • Sep 21, 2022 | 20:23 44 The Dow Jones is threatening to break below 30,000 points tonite. Remember how aghast I was when the Dow broke above 30,000 with little justification other than money printing.

    ‘What comes around, goes around’ even in markets. Reply With Quote
    Sep 21, 2022 | 21:47 45 Cdn dollar breaking 74 cents U.S. tonite. USD on-fire . . . . Reply With Quote
    Sep 21, 2022 | 22:05 46 Actually the war on the great reset being fought on the ground in the Ukraine and in the markets
    That’s the big picture
    Last edited by furrowtickler; Sep 21, 2022 at 22:08.
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    Sep 23, 2022 | 07:57 47 The number of NASDAQ stocks that have hit a 52-week low now dwarfs that of the 2000 Dot-com bubble and Global Financial Crisis . . . . Reply With Quote
    Sep 26, 2022 | 09:54 48 Crash-is-on . . . . Biggest daily drop in British pound ever overnight, down nearly 10% against USD since Thursday. Loonie breaks 73 cents US today . . . . Reply With Quote
    Sep 27, 2022 | 16:40 49 I wonder how different the outcomes will be between October 1929 and now. The 30's were economically devastating to agriculture which was the dominant occupation. Widespread urban famine wasn't an issue then. Now it might be. Reply With Quote
    Sep 27, 2022 | 21:02 50 There is still no sign of ‘max fear’ in investors. The VIX index has a ways-to-go. Buy-the-dippers have to be overwhelmed before there is evidence of a market bottom and final capitulation.

    Realize this may sound ridiculous, but the easy money is now panicked and on-the-run. Markets are highly emotional, a pure reflection of human emotion . . . .
    Last edited by errolanderson; Sep 27, 2022 at 21:05.
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    helmsdale's Avatar Sep 27, 2022 | 21:11 51
    Quote Originally Posted by errolanderson View Post
    There is still no sign of ‘max fear’ in investors. The VIX index has a ways-to-go. Buy-the-dippers have to be overwhelmed before there is evidence of a market bottom and final capitulation.

    Realize this may sound ridiculous, but the easy money is now panicked and on-the-run. Markets are highly emotional, a pure reflection of human emotion . . . .
    At some point the BTFD crowd will be right...

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  • Sep 27, 2022 | 23:57 52 BTFD crowd? Reply With Quote
    Sep 28, 2022 | 00:56 53
    Quote Originally Posted by sumdumguy View Post
    BTFD crowd?
    According to Google that stands for Burlington township fire department. Makes perfect sense to me. Reply With Quote
    biglentil's Avatar Sep 28, 2022 | 05:25 54
    Quote Originally Posted by sumdumguy View Post
    BTFD crowd?
    Buy the f'ing dip, common among the hodl crowd (hang in for dear life).
    Last edited by biglentil; Sep 28, 2022 at 05:29.
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    jazz's Avatar Sep 28, 2022 | 06:54 55 The Bank of England just pivoted overnight., After a few rate increases, their currency broke, so they are now back to buying bonds.

    Same thing will happen here in a few months. A super indebted west who has sent its productive capacity abroad to chase the fiat dream is ripe for a sovereign debt crisis. We will be living with high inflation for a while. Reply With Quote
    Sep 28, 2022 | 07:50 56
    Quote Originally Posted by jazz View Post
    The Bank of England just pivoted overnight., After a few rate increases, their currency broke, so they are now back to buying bonds.

    Same thing will happen here in a few months. A super indebted west who has sent its productive capacity abroad to chase the fiat dream is ripe for a sovereign debt crisis. We will be living with high inflation for a while.
    Central bank policy is a total mess . . . . Watch the Fed panic in early 2023 when the wheels totally fall-off- the-wagon. Reply With Quote
    Sep 28, 2022 | 07:51 57
    Quote Originally Posted by jazz View Post
    The Bank of England just pivoted overnight., After a few rate increases, their currency broke, so they are now back to buying bonds.

    Same thing will happen here in a few months. A super indebted west who has sent its productive capacity abroad to chase the fiat dream is ripe for a sovereign debt crisis. We will be living with high inflation for a while.
    One report that things were breaking so fast the pension funds can't make the margin calls so BOE came in with support.
    Some now predicting 22% inflation in the works for Britain if more QE.

    It's a tangled web for sure.

    Sometimes you think you are looking ahead but soon realize it already happened. Reply With Quote
    Sep 28, 2022 | 08:00 58
    Quote Originally Posted by shtferbrains View Post
    One report that things were breaking so fast the pension funds can't make the margin calls so BOE came in with support.
    Some now predicting 22% inflation in the works for Britain if more QE.

    It's a tangled web for sure.

    Sometimes you think you are looking ahead but soon realize it already happened.
    Pension funds are simply deer staring in-the-headlights. Can only perform when the good times of money printing roll . . . . Reply With Quote
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  • biglentil's Avatar Sep 28, 2022 | 08:31 59 When Errol finally likes gold then you can be assured sh!t has hit the fan. Reply With Quote
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  • Sep 28, 2022 | 09:03 60 This is the jest of Janet Yellen's comments this week; Financial markets are functioning normally. The U.S. will likely dodge a recession. Inflation is too high, ie; rates will continue to climb. Basically, nothing to see here.

    Guess we can all relax now . . . . Reply With Quote