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    Market Plunge

    Bummer

    #2
    I thought todays market activity was worth noting.

    But until your post, there had been no market related posts here in over 24 hours, and no new market threads started in 4 days.
    Does this mean that everyone here has long since sold everything ( including new crop) and doesn't care, or don't want to look at the difference?

    Or are these other issues (Covid, Vaccines, etc. just that much more important, especially at this busy time of year?

    The market can't go up everyday, volatility won't always be in the sellers favour.

    Last year at this time, would anyone have believed the headline would exist, canola plunges to low $20's/bushel?

    Comment


      #3
      Originally posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
      I thought todays market activity was worth noting.

      But until your post, there had been no market related posts here in over 24 hours, and no new market threads started in 4 days.
      Does this mean that everyone here has long since sold everything ( including new crop) and doesn't care, or don't want to look at the difference?

      Or are these other issues (Covid, Vaccines, etc. just that much more important, especially at this busy time of year?

      The market can't go up everyday, volatility won't always be in the sellers favour.

      Last year at this time, would anyone have believed the headline would exist, canola plunges to low $20's/bushel?
      For sure this market makes humble pie really fast!!!

      Very expensive buying puts at the top [Nov21] we will see how it works out...

      Margin Calls got hot and heavy real fast... who would want to talk about that pain?...

      Hind sight is always 2020... and will be in 2021 as well!!!

      Cheers

      Comment


        #4
        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Xw195mYIqDs

        Maybe the snow and rain will help the frost damaged winter wheat crop

        Comment


          #5
          The plunge hurts less here than when grains are at their "traditional" levels.

          This action is so unpredictable.

          The corn crop in Ontario is quite insignificant in th3 bigger picture, but things are very slow and backward here. Frost nearly every night for the past week again. Cold temps all day, still wearing heavy clothes working outside. Not much clear and strong sunshine.

          March was nicer and warmer weather than April and May so far.

          So the crop in Ontario is not off to a strong start at all. Except for spring cereals which don't mind this weather.

          Comment


            #6
            Very much the same across the majority of western Canada
            This week is slightly better but very dry in most areas

            Comment


              #7
              At the current time there is no more canola in Canada than last week...Next week there will be less again ...and if the forecast hold for both short term and long term in the form of a drought there won't be a large crop of canola in September either...

              Wouldn't matter how deep I seed.... the crop is starting on empty for moisture.

              Comment


                #8
                Originally posted by bucket View Post
                Wouldn't matter how deep I seed.... the crop is starting on empty for moisture.
                Canola is in shallow and min moisture. Wont germinate without a rain on it. Probably back reseeding it to lentils in a month. Nothing in the forecast it seems.

                Comment


                  #9
                  Originally posted by bucket View Post
                  At the current time there is no more canola in Canada than last week...Next week there will be less again ...and if the forecast hold for both short term and long term in the form of a drought there won't be a large crop of canola in September either...

                  Wouldn't matter how deep I seed.... the crop is starting on empty for moisture.
                  Large crop but Only for Neil
                  Last edited by Guest; May 11, 2021, 06:57.

                  Comment


                    #10
                    Originally posted by bucket View Post
                    At the current time there is no more canola in Canada than last week...Next week there will be less again ....
                    And that is very true. No matter what the market does from here on out, it can't change the amount of old crop available. Price could go to $100 and not increase the supplies. Acres mostly already bought, so what is the job of the market from now until new crop starts coming in, other than rationing demand?

                    Comment


                      #11
                      Originally posted by caseih View Post
                      Large crop but Only for Neil
                      heard him on the radio a day or two after StatsCan, saying how the numbers were old, and acres were bound to be much higher for canola. agenda?

                      Comment


                        #12
                        Interesting..

                        Comment


                          #13
                          Originally posted by burnt View Post
                          The plunge hurts less here than when grains are at their "traditional" levels.

                          This action is so unpredictable.

                          The corn crop in Ontario is quite insignificant in th3 bigger picture, but things are very slow and backward here. Frost nearly every night for the past week again. Cold temps all day, still wearing heavy clothes working outside. Not much clear and strong sunshine.

                          March was nicer and warmer weather than April and May so far.

                          So the crop in Ontario is not off to a strong start at all. Except for spring cereals which don't mind this weather.
                          I think the whole northern hemisphere is cold, talkedto my brother in Holland and he said the same thing everything is late and slow growing.

                          Comment


                            #14
                            If they keep taking rain out of the forecast the price won't matter.

                            Comment


                              #15
                              This is the third year of dry conditions. Looks like the frog is about to realize the water is boiling.

                              Comment

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