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Dry conditions across the prairies. Oh are they finally taking note.

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SASKFARMER's Avatar Apr 5, 2021 | 06:52 1 It seems a few media outlets and Ag reporters are finally realizing we have been really dry since last July.

I guess on the Easter weekend some traders and experts actually got out of the cities and went to the cottage maybe stopped to take a piss on the side of the road and realized your piss is gone in seconds once it hits the dry dirt.

Now this farmer has seen videos of guys seeding in Southern Alberta and Manitoba and a guy yesterday at Saskatoon. Now it's nice to be first out and it gets all talking but you're a ****ing idiot it's the first of April. Not may one.

We might have 21 mill acres of Canola going in in western Canada but if it doesn't get established or has issues there is no way in the world of Mickie Mouse we will have anything close to resembling an average crop at this time. Timely rains will help a few with subsoil moisture but from most, I talk to the tank is empty.

It will surely be an interesting year. Yea it's farming they all are.

But it's nice that the Ag experts finally are agreeing we're looking more like a drought-like 1988 all over again. Hey, ask your dads what it was like in the 80s.

Off to pump water. Have a great day. Reply With Quote

  • Apr 5, 2021 | 08:49 2 Like your #1 analogy.

    You go pump your water. Around here, all we can do is pound sand. Reply With Quote
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  • Apr 5, 2021 | 10:41 3 Yet old crop canola is up, new crop is down.
    Corn opposite this morning. Go figure. Reply With Quote
    SASKFARMER's Avatar Apr 5, 2021 | 11:14 4 Why is no one talking about the drought? It’s not like it’s not on most guys mind. I lived the floods the first few were fun the last 5 sucked the life out of you.

    But now the table has turned its dryer and maybe will be for years Reply With Quote
    jazz's Avatar Apr 5, 2021 | 11:45 5 If a drought is coming, I think we can weather it better this time round with these prices at our backs.

    Frankly, I am relishing the food inflation that will wash over the economy and watching the woke zombies get blindsided. Reply With Quote
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  • SASKFARMER's Avatar Apr 5, 2021 | 13:14 6 Canola is starting to wake up and the storm for the 11 th is bs and now a change on the one coming on 18 th Reply With Quote
    Apr 5, 2021 | 13:51 7 Looking for some precip around the 11th but not too confident as to how much Reply With Quote
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  • Apr 5, 2021 | 13:57 8 1987 long, wet, cold fall ruined many bushel of Laird Lentils. That winter you were lucky to sell them as feed at 7-9 cents/lb. But come the drought of 1988, we got 27.5 cents a pound and you could sell every bit. Reply With Quote
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  • Apr 5, 2021 | 14:17 9 Talk on radio this morning of an omega block Reply With Quote
    SASKFARMER's Avatar Apr 5, 2021 | 14:21 10 Yep but it’s not suppose to hit till July. Except this year the tank is empty filling up 10 dollars here and there won’t cut it this year. Reply With Quote
    jazz's Avatar Apr 5, 2021 | 14:29 11 Everyone is chomping at the bit to contract and move last yrs crop, BUT if a guy had brass balls and carried this one another few months, you could make out like a bandit.

    Some one said the US got big rains and their drought backed off quite a bit. Anyone have current moisture maps?

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    Last edited by jazz; Apr 5, 2021 at 14:35.
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    Apr 5, 2021 | 15:28 12
    Quote Originally Posted by jazz View Post
    BUT if a guy had brass balls and carried this one another few months, you could make out like a bandit.
    You called? Reply With Quote
    Apr 5, 2021 | 16:35 13 Might have lots of bin space here in Manitoba this fall if anybody needs any ! Reply With Quote
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  • SASKFARMER's Avatar Apr 5, 2021 | 16:40 14 I for one don’t believe with the winds we’re getting and min snow all winter that it is wet south of kindersley all way down to swift. Not one minute Reply With Quote
    Apr 5, 2021 | 17:15 15 There was more snow over 8 Miles south of kinderlsey. South of Eston is dry. A friend of mine that lives south of Eston got his pumps all ready to use and there ain’t no water. Reply With Quote
    SASKFARMER's Avatar Apr 5, 2021 | 17:19 16 Rose town must also be dry Reply With Quote
    Apr 5, 2021 | 17:48 17 this is the first year for me that its too dry to seed. 3-4" pure powder on top, a few guys tried already and 75 kph winds sent it in the ditch. no early seeding here this year need to wait for rain Reply With Quote
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  • fjlip's Avatar Apr 5, 2021 | 18:35 18 Must ADAPT...more C02 Tax will NOT, repeat, repeat, for deaf dumb blind Climate Nazis, will NOT....make it rain! Unless 50 years from now, the "peer reviewed experts" got that nailed. Reply With Quote
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  • Apr 5, 2021 | 18:59 19
    Quote Originally Posted by jazz View Post
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    As bad as that map looks, the reality is probably worse. The red areas are normally some of the most productive, the green is some of the least, or it is irrigation. The net result will be even less bushels than just taking the total area of red and green. Reply With Quote
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  • Apr 5, 2021 | 19:42 20
    Just got rolling on this field today. Earliest start ever as far as everyone remembers here. Ironically it wasn’t seeded or even worked last year as it was too wet.

    It’s come a long way since being cleared a little over a year ago. Shows us as brown/red on the colourful map and I’d say it’s accurate.

    Glad I didn’t contract any new crop........... cow chow could be a hot commodity. Like $6 barley hasn’t kicked calf prices enough already........ $200 a ton hay will really suck the wind outta them.

    Buckle up for the ride😎 Reply With Quote
    Apr 5, 2021 | 20:59 21
    Quote Originally Posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
    As bad as that map looks, the reality is probably worse. The red areas are normally some of the most productive, the green is some of the least, or it is irrigation. The net result will be even less bushels than just taking the total area of red and green.
    Remember though, below normal in lots of the red zone is normal for the usual dry areas. For example, our area would be below normal if we were under 20 inches of precipitation for the YEAR. many areas of the open prairie only get 12 or 14 inches Toto yearly precipitation.

    I know what you mean though, and I am not trying to be contrary. Lots of areas are real dry. I am in a dry area on the map, but I just walked the home quarter. Mud, mud, mud. Less than normal snow by nearly half, but it’s still muddy as heck.

    It’s relative. Reply With Quote

  • Apr 6, 2021 | 06:50 22 Half my dugouts empty now so I guess half the grassers stay close to yards ( wells ) . With low sub moisture I guess there won't be much grass anyway. As it stands now can't put corn on corn ground that ground is the worst. Maybe a guy should be buying wheat, not trying to give it away. Reply With Quote

  • SASKFARMER's Avatar Apr 6, 2021 | 06:55 23 China is switching to using wheat for feed. It's cheap.

    We need a good rain before seeding to warm up the ground and take the last frost out and get things growing. Today the main dugout we expanded last fall is full to the brim. Had to pump four sloughs to do it but it's full. This is our spray water pit. The spring has water in the creek at about the same level as last fall.

    Now south of the valley it's a different story. Actually follow the highway to Yorkton and north. Anything on the south side or east is dry.

    Might have to make a trip to Calgary so will be interesting to see what's going on all the way along. Reply With Quote
    SASKFARMER's Avatar Apr 6, 2021 | 08:28 24 I remember years like this back in the 80s seeding with a new Flexicoil air drill. No more discers and we thought we were cooking with Gas. Two years into the dry period you would seed one mile up and backcheck your seed row and it had dried down to the base where the seed was sitting. The wind blew every day and no clouds or rain. One day it was so windy you couldn't see across the street. SMF was blowing Reply With Quote
    fjlip's Avatar Apr 6, 2021 | 08:34 25 Looking like that this year, cycle repeats, NOT a new permanent change. Reply With Quote
    SASKFARMER's Avatar Apr 6, 2021 | 08:36 26 Yes, it's a cycle that does repeat.

    Study history of Canada.

    This is nothing new.

    Some years wet some dry some periods very dry some very wet.

    Study history peoplekind. Reply With Quote
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  • fcr
    Apr 6, 2021 | 09:49 27 Bought our first airseeder in 1995.Havent tilled any land since, follow a strict rotation and never bale or burn straw.Our soil profile gets better every year,we can grow more bushels on half the moisture we needed 25 yrs ago.Neigbour who protilled last spring had his land blow several times.Our land may not be the smoothest but in a year like this we should be ok until mid june. Reply With Quote
    Apr 6, 2021 | 17:24 28
    Quote Originally Posted by SASKFARMER View Post
    Canola is starting to wake up and the storm for the 11 th is bs and now a change on the one coming on 18 th
    Yup, we were forecast 4mm on the 17th, 2mm on the 18th and 20mm on the 19th,,,, all gone this morning, zippo, nadda, sunny and clear now.

    PS, looks of wind forecast though,,, crack that soil and the seed will be sitting in dry dirt by the time you get back from the other end of the field alright. Reply With Quote
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  • fjlip's Avatar Apr 6, 2021 | 17:35 29 Vertical tillage can be parked TILL it's WET again. Has it's place, but never when this dry. Fields are blowing already. Reply With Quote
    Apr 6, 2021 | 19:02 30 Wasn’t long ago you couldn’t give discs away. Reply With Quote