Test Wheat Test

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Blaithin's Avatar Nov 28, 2020 | 09:56 61
Quote Originally Posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
Let me guess, the star employee left and took her chickens with her at that time? Been all downhill since then?
It’d be nice to think that but it was already going downhill before I left. Reply With Quote

  • Dec 8, 2020 | 15:46 62 This thread along with prices could sure use a bump up. Reply With Quote
    Dec 8, 2020 | 15:50 63
    Quote Originally Posted by farmaholic View Post
    This thread along with prices could sure use a bump up.
    $260 on farm here dismal after recent highs

    Gotta go to work cheers Reply With Quote
    Dec 9, 2020 | 13:44 64 See Canada won wheat tender. Reply With Quote
    Dec 10, 2020 | 07:16 65
    Quote Originally Posted by malleefarmer View Post
    See Canada won wheat tender.
    The Canada soft milling wheat tender for Egypt? I wonder what Canadian company and class/grade of wheat Reply With Quote
    Dec 10, 2020 | 07:18 66 First opportunity to short Kansas in months popped up so shorted one March on paper.
    Got stopped out with 368.75 US less fees.

    This morning Kansas has gapped up.
    Positioning for USDA report? Reply With Quote
    Dec 10, 2020 | 07:59 67 According to SovEcon, Chicago wheat is up 4% in two days after rumors from Russia about potential grain market regulation. Reply With Quote
    Dec 10, 2020 | 08:12 68 commentary,

    https://www.barchart.com/story/futur...f-wasde-report Reply With Quote
    Dec 10, 2020 | 09:26 69
    Quote Originally Posted by wmoebis View Post
    The Canada soft milling wheat tender for Egypt? I wonder what Canadian company and class/grade of wheat
    Japan Reply With Quote
    Dec 11, 2020 | 09:05 70
    Quote Originally Posted by errolanderson View Post
    According to SovEcon, Chicago wheat is up 4% in two days after rumors from Russia about potential grain market regulation.
    Chicago wheat is back above $6 on Russian tax talks. A ballpark estimate: the tax could lead to smaller exports in 20/21 by a few million tons. SovEcon most recent export forecast is 40.8 MMT. Putin attempting to cool domestic food inflation . . . . Reply With Quote

  • Dec 11, 2020 | 11:37 71 Nice moves in wheat so far today, lets hope for a strong close.

    CBoT up 20-22 cents USD
    KCBT up 22-23 cents USD
    MGE up 10 cents USD Reply With Quote

  • Dec 14, 2020 | 08:56 72 Right or wrong I went from zero to 100% sold on Friday for June delivery. Reply With Quote
    Dec 14, 2020 | 09:28 73
    Quote Originally Posted by farmaholic View Post
    Right or wrong I went from zero to 100% sold on Friday for June delivery.
    You look like a guru today !

    or should I say, your decision, makes you like a guru.

    Did you buy a position back on paper, incase wheats worth $3.00/bus more in June?

    you know I'm hoping it is ! Reply With Quote
    Dec 14, 2020 | 10:03 74
    Quote Originally Posted by beaverdam View Post
    You look like a guru today !

    or should I say, your decision, makes you like a guru.

    Did you buy a position back on paper, incase wheats worth $3.00/bus more in June?

    you know I'm hoping it is !
    I'm schtoopit and do schtoopiter things.

    No paper whaet to replace it.

    The real anal-ysts need to chime in.

    I just don't "think" and "feel" the wheat market has any legs under it.

    Notice I never said "know". Reply With Quote
    Dec 14, 2020 | 11:58 75 Supposedly we are to sell in the top third of prices for the marketing period, so good going!
    As of last Friday you are in the 94th percentile!

    the chart below plots daily price offerings since August 6, 2020 from lowest to highest

    https://www.pdqinfo.ca/

    Name:  SE SK Wheat prices.jpg
Views: 700
Size:  40.4 KB Reply With Quote
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  • Dec 14, 2020 | 12:43 76 Thanks for thhe chart farming101. I'll bookmark that.
    The cynic might point out that this marketing year is only 1/3 through. The 94th percentile today could still end up in the bottom third.
    Sorry to rain on Farmaholic's parade. Reply With Quote
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  • Dec 14, 2020 | 12:54 77 Farma might be a “cherry picker” 😊 Reply With Quote
    Dec 14, 2020 | 12:58 78
    Quote Originally Posted by Rareearth View Post
    Farma might be a “cherry picker” 😊
    Is that the same as a bean flicker? Soybeans.... Reply With Quote
    Dec 14, 2020 | 12:58 79
    Quote Originally Posted by Rareearth View Post
    Farma might be a “cherry picker” 😊
    Course, if it rains on his parade, it might be the only rain he gets, And he will be really grateful to me. Reply With Quote
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  • Dec 14, 2020 | 13:01 80 It is entirely appropriate to be a cynic when it comes to grain marketing because it is rare to find somebody or some entity that has altruism and charity as their mandate in the global grain market.

    However, when it comes to protecting your rear end there is a balance needed. Being too greedy has hit a lot of guys in the profit margin. Ouch! Thus the statistic(debated, mind you) that two-thirds of the grain is sold in the bottom third of the market. Reply With Quote
    Dec 14, 2020 | 13:01 81
    Quote Originally Posted by AlbertaFarmer5 View Post
    Thanks for thhe chart farming101. I'll bookmark that.
    The cynic might point out that this marketing year is only 1/3 through. The 94th percentile today could still end up in the bottom third.
    Sorry to rain on Farmaholic's parade.
    Hard to believe..... but I'm satisfied with what I got.

    .....until, you know.... Reply With Quote
  • 1 Like


  • Dec 14, 2020 | 13:28 82 I’m not sure Farma, “bean flicker” ?
    Crokinole
    Crokinole is a dexterity board game similar in various ways to pitchnut, carrom, marbles, shove ha'penny, with elements of shuffleboard and curling reduced to table-top size.Wikipedia
    But in this case it’s better that a bottom picker.

    The timing for the run up was likely as good as it could have been to catch a rally? We priced some in the summer for fall movement/ cash flow, glad we didn’t commit more. Or maybe if it started in June when crops looked good it would have been worse?

    Thank goodness this rally didn’t start in November or we would have missed a lot of the rally.

    Generally commodity traders have way more losing trades than winning ones. When they do have a winning trade ( market timing, trend, fundamentals or technicals or just fluky good luck, etc) you have to let those profits and trades run to maximize profits etc ie trend is your friend, and we haven’t seen solid fundamental to suggest a major shift in the trend. It will take more than one commodity price change of direction to impact all the other commodities. Reply With Quote
    Dec 14, 2020 | 13:31 83 As mentioned previously last Friday a box buyer came into market $30 above market filled in no time.

    Well he re entered market yesterday at $7 below Friday mark still above market.

    Broker rang I said if he lifts his bid by $4 will sell more.

    Checked international futures trading was only 2 cents up on electronic trading.

    Bit more reading ensued about Russian rumour and how market is trading up on nothing, still boggins of wheat in the world and oz is bursting at seams.

    Was about to ring broker and say stuff it will let some more go.

    Then he rang maybe 40 minutes from first call, he’s getting no willing sellers he’s lifted his bid by the $4 I wanted. Sold some more.

    Checked markets a while later to see what trades was wheat was red real red.

    So market can really on trade higher on rumour and innuendo rather than actual sis a worry. Reply With Quote
    Dec 14, 2020 | 15:24 84
    Quote Originally Posted by farmaholic View Post
    Hard to believe..... but I'm satisfied with what I got.

    .....until, you know....
    The best part is you did what’s right for your farm and you had the complete freedom to do so. It matters not what may or may not happen later to price up or down .
    you had the ability to sell whatever quantity you wanted at what price made sense to your farm and you were not handcuffed by a system we once had .

    Also you will move 100% of what you sold and get 100% of the money when it works for you , on your terms . Reply With Quote

  • Dec 15, 2020 | 03:47 85
    Quote Originally Posted by furrowtickler View Post
    The best part is you did what’s right for your farm and you had the complete freedom to do so. It matters not what may or may not happen later to price up or down .
    you had the ability to sell whatever quantity you wanted at what price made sense to your farm and you were not handcuffed by a system we once had .

    Also you will move 100% of what you sold and get 100% of the money when it works for you , on your terms .
    The main thing is to strive for your goal, and not to adapt to everyone in a row. You live for yourself, not for someone else. The ability to do what you want. and not by what is imposed on you - this is one of the main needs. Reply With Quote
    Dec 16, 2020 | 14:54 86 Egypt’s GASC tender last night saw them buy four boats of wheat – two Romanian and two Ukrainian, but no Russian. C&F values were in the low $280s per tonne (including GASC costings ) – up about $8/t from their recent buys, and the Russian offers that were in there were in the mid $280s per tonne FOB. Little interest in taking the risk on timing and tax impacts it seems Reply With Quote
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  • Dec 17, 2020 | 09:40 87 Russia is donating wheat shipments to Syria to decrease the starvation.
    Russia might have bigger plans in that area? Reply With Quote
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  • Dec 21, 2020 | 12:51 88 Local high Px wheat bids strengthening for later delivery. Feb forward. Reply With Quote
    Dec 21, 2020 | 13:44 89 Secured $277 per tonne on farm for low protien wheat yesterday just a 90t parcel.

    Better than a poke in the eye with a blunt stick Reply With Quote
    Dec 29, 2020 | 01:28 90 Wont bore you with cut and paste
    Headline a few hours ago China targets Australian farmers again......wheat now guess we were expecting it Reply With Quote